Tournament: Every tournament attended | Round: 1 | Opponent: Who knows anymore - all of them | Judge: Most recent 1AC
multilateralism adv:
Unilateralism causes great power wars
Kupchan 12 – Ph.D. in international relations from Oxford, Associate Professor of International Relations @gtown, Senior Fellow and Director of Europe Studies at the Council on Foreign Relations (Charles Kupchan, “Sorry, Mitt: It Won't Be an American Century”, FEBRUARY 6, 2012, http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2012/02/06/it_won_t_be_an_american_century?page=0,2)
In an election season, such talk rolls easily off the tongue. But Romney's hackneyed
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unwieldy globe to consensus and cooperation.
Unilateralism is unsustainable and drives allies away – multilateralism solves
Ikenberry and Kupchan 04 – Ph.D. in international relations from Oxford, Associate Professor of International Relations at Georgetown, Senior Fellow and Director of Europe Studies at the Council on Foreign Relations (John Ikenberry and Charles Kupchan, “Liberal Realism: The Foundations of a Democratic Foreign Policy,” National Interest (Fall 2004))
It is misguided, however, to assume that America's preponderant
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again feel like stakeholders in the international system.
Perception.
Burgsdorff 09 – Ph. D in Political Science from Freiburg University, EU Fellow at the University of Miami (Sven Kühn von, “Problems and Opportunities for the Incoming Obama Administration”, http://aei.pitt.edu.proxy.lib.umich.edu/11047/1/vonBurgsdorfUSvsCubalong09edi.pdf)//NG
In addition, the US needs to improve its international human rights reputation
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international community as steps towards effective multilateralism.
Credible conflict resolution model
Dickerson 10 – Lieutenant Colonel, US Army, paper submitted in fulfillment of a Master of Strategic Studies Degree at the US Army War College (Sergio M, “UNITED STATES SECURITY STRATEGY TOWARDS CUBA,” 1/14/10, http://www.dtic.mil/dtic/tr/fulltext/u2/a518053.pdf) NG
At the international political level, President Obama sees resuming relations with
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order bringing true peace for years to come.
Multilateralism solves Asian transition wars
Kugler, 6 – Professor of World Politics at Claremont Graduate University (Jacek, “The Asian Ascent: Opportunity for Peace or Precondition for War?”, http://sobek.colorado.edu/~lewiso/Kugler20-20The20Asian20Ascent.pdf) NG
Given the fundamental importance of demographic
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would be anticipated from a nuclear war.
Cuban transition adv:
Plan removes the biggest “crutch” of Cuban economic dependency
CSG ’13 (Cuba Study Group, Restoring Executive Authority Over U.S. Policy Toward Cuba February 2013, http://www.cubastudygroup.org/index.cfm/files/serve?File_id=45d8f827-174c-4d43-aa2f-ef7794831032)
The primary consequences of Helms-Burton and related statutory
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United States may finally develop a coherent policy toward the Island.
Cuban reforms are inevitable but the status quo risks collapse
Ashby, 13 - Senior Research Fellow at the Council on Hemispheric Affairs. He served in the U.S. Commerce Department's International Trade Administration as Director of the Office of Mexico and the Caribbean and acting Deputy Assistant Secretary of Commerce for the Western Hemisphere (Timothy, "Preserving Stability in Cuba After Normalizing Relations with the United States – The Importance of Trading with State-Owned Enterprises" 3/29/13, Council on Hemispheric Affairs, http://www.coha.org/preserving-stability-in-cuba-timothy-ashby/)//AD
Cuba under Raúl Castro has entered a new period of economic,
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both Cuba’s private sector as well as SOEs.
The unconditional offer is key – solves relations and prevents overstretch
Koenig, 10 – US Army Colonel, paper submitted for a Masters in Strategic Studies at the US Army War College (Lance, “Time for a New Cuba Policy” http://www.dtic.mil/cgi-bin/GetTRDoc?AD=ADA518130)
The option with the greatest possibility of success and reward for the United States
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Cuba that guides her onto a path that will benefit the nations of the
Collapse leads to extinction
Yoo 2005 – professor of law at UC Berkeley School of Law, visiting scholar at AEI (John, Northwestern University International Colloquium, “Failed states”, http://www.law.northwestern.edu/colloquium/international/Yoo.pdf, WEA)
Failed states pose perhaps the most dangerous threat to both American
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requires some answers to the problem of failed states.
Plan solves terrorism and hotspots
Gorrell, 5 - Lieutenant Colonel, US Army, paper submitted for the USAWC STRATEGY RESEARCH PROJECT (Tim, “CUBA: THE NEXT UNANTICIPATED ANTICIPATED STRATEGIC CRISIS?” http://www.dtic.mil/cgi-bin/GetTRDoc?AD=ADA433074
Regardless of the succession, under the current U.S. policy,
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effort to facilitate a manageable transition to post-Castro Cuba?
Terrorism causes extinction
Hellman, 8 Martin E. Hellman, Professor @ Stanford, “Risk Analysis of Nuclear Deterrence” SPRING 2008 THE BENT OF TAU BETA PI, http://www.nuclearrisk.org/paper.pdf
The threat of nuclear terrorism looms much larger in the public’s mind
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preventing World War III is a necessity—not an option.
Hotspots cause extinction
Bosco 06- a senior editor at Foreign Policy magazine (David July 06 “Forum: Keeping an eye peeled for World War III” http://www.post-gazette.com/pg/06211/709477-109.stm_)
The understanding that small but violent acts can spark global conflagration
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hint that France, Russia or China would respond militarily.
The embargo ruins Cuba’s economy.
CETIM 03 – independent research and political organization working at the UN (Centre Europe Tiers Monde, THE EFFECTS OF THE US EMBARGO AGAINST CUBA AND THE REASONS OF THE URGENT NEED TO LIFT IT, http://www.cetim.ch/oldsite/2003/03js04w4.htm)
The harmful economic effects of the embargo From an official Cuban source,
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of raw materials (New York), of nickel, tobacco, rum.
geopolitical trends catalyze economic instability and make collapse inevitable
Morris, 11 – London Metropolitan University (Emily, FORECASTING CUBA’S ECONOMY: 2, 5, AND 20 YEARS, Presented at the international symposium “Cuba Futures: Past and Present,” organized by The Cuba Project Bildner Center for Western Hemisphere Studies at The Graduate Center/CUNY, http://web.gc.cuny.edu/dept/bildn/cuba/cubaforecasting.pdf)
Risks in the short term Political risks arise from the process of
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within the economies of the growth leaders, China and India. 14 C
Cuban failed state triggers terrorism
Piazza 08 – Assistant Professor Department of Political Science, University of North Carolina at Charlotte (James A., "Incubators of Terror: Do Failed and Failing
States Promote Transnational Terrorism?," International Studies Quarterly, 2008, http://www.politicalscience.uncc.edu/jpiazza/Terrorism20and20Failed20States20ISQ202008.pdf, SMS)
Both failed and failing states, scholars argue, are theoretically more likely to contain
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support of the local population and widen their activities.
The United States federal government should normalize its trade relations with Cuba.
solvency:
Plan is key to trade
French, 9 – editor of and a frequent contributor to The Havana Note. She has led more than two dozen research trips to Cuba (Anya, “Options for Engagement A Resource Guide for Reforming U.S. Policy toward Cuba” http://www.lexingtoninstitute.org/library/resources/documents/Cuba/USPolicy/options-for-engagement.pdf)
the path to “normal” trade relations If the United States were to lift its trade
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countries would need to adopt statutory and regulatory changes.
Policy won’t change absent the plan
Wilkinson, 13 – chair of the International Institute for the Study of Cuba (Stephen, “ What Will a New Generation of Leadership Mean for Cuba?” 3/6, http://www.thedialogue.org/page.cfm?pageID=32andpubID=3254)
A: Stephen Wilkinson, chairman of the International Institute for the Study
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waiting for the Castros to die is a waste of time."
Unilateral lifting crucial – Cuba says no to conditions
Ratliff, 9 - Research Fellow at the Independent Institute and a member of the Board of Advisors of the Institute’s Center on Global Prosperity. He is also a Research Fellow and Curator of the Americas Collection at the Hoover Institution (William, “Why and How to Lift the U.S. Embargo on Cuba”, 5/7,
http://www.independent.org/newsroom/article.asp?id=2496)
How has the embargo failed? It has not brought down the Castro
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that it will rid us of a demeaning, hypocritical and counterproductive policy.
Cuba says yes- Raul and economic reforms
LeoGrande, 13 - professor in the Department of Government, School of Public Affairs at American University in Washington, D.C. (William, “The Danger of Dependence: Cuba's Foreign Policy After Chavez” World Politics Review, 4/2, http://www.worldpoliticsreview.com/articles/12840/the-danger-of-dependence-cubas-foreign-policy-after-chavez)
Eager to put Cuba on a more solid footing before passing the torch to
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economy and open it up to U.S. trade and investment.
And, it entrenches long-term economic stability – current reform process is failing
Piccone, 13 – Brookings Institute Senior Fellow and Deputy Director, Foreign Policy (Joseph, “Opening to Havana”, 1/17/13, http://www.brookings.edu/research/papers/2013/01/opening-to-havana)
Under Raul Castro, the Cuban government has continued to undertake a number of
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constructively alongside an effort to empower the Cuban people.