Tournament: Notre Dame | Round: 1 | Opponent: Carrolton School of the Sacred Heart MC | Judge: Cat Duffy
1AC
Inherency
Mexico ratified TBA all that remains is US implementation
Goldwyn ’13 (David L. Goldwyn, president of Goldwyn Global Strategies, LLC, an international energy advisory consultancy, and a nonresident senior fellow with the Energy Security Initiative at the Brookings Institution. David Goldwyn served as the U.S. State Department’s special envoy and coordinator for international energy affairs from 2009-2011, Neil R. Brown, Cory R. Gill, “Time to Implement the U.S.-Mexico Transboundary Hydrocarbons Agreement — Congress: Drop the Poison Pill”, http://www.brookings.edu/blogs/up-front/posts/2013/08/14-us-mexico-transboundary-hydrocarbon-goldwyn-brown-gill?rssid=LatestFromBrookings, August 14thJG)

The United States and Mexico … bill. The Senate can do better
Plan
The United States federal government should implement the Agreement between the United States and Mexico Concerning Transboundary Hydrocarbon Reservoirs in the Gulf of Mexico. 

Advantage 1: The United States
The US economy is fragile and only surviving because of consumers
Jasinowski 7/24 (Jerry Jasinowski, an economist and author, served as President of the National Association of Manufacturers for 14 years and later The Manufacturing Institute, MA in economics from Columbia university, “A Fragile Economy”, http://www.huffingtonpost.com/jerry-jasinowski/a-fragile-economy_b_3643560.html)//TC

The U.S economy is beginning …renewed economic and market volatility. 

The plan improves the economy in the short-term – creating jobs, lowering energy prices, and generating federal revenue.
Hastings ’13 (Doc, Chairman on the Natural Resource House Committee, 5-15-13, “House Committee Approves Legislation to Approve Transboundary Hydrocarbon Agreement with Mexico”, http://naturalresources.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=334042, accessed 6-30-13

WASHINGTON, D.C., May 15, 2013 - Today, the House Natural Resources Committee …Transboundary Hydrocarbon Agreements Authorization Act.”

The plan also resolves the long-term sustainability needs of the economy.
Quest ‘11 (Quest Offshore, June 2011, “United States Gulf of Mexico Oil and Natural Gas Industry Economic Impact Analysis”, http://www.api.org/~/media/Files/Policy/Jobs/QuestGoMEconomicAnalysis7-11-2011.pdf)

The positive economic impacts of … utmost importance to the United States.

US economic strength is a firewall – great power wars are impossible because of it and inevitable without it.
Gelb ’10 Leslie. President of the Council on Foreign Relations.  “GDP Now Matters more than Force” A US Foreign Policy for the Age of Economic Power, 2010.  Foreign Affairs

Today, the United States continues to …an economic reawakening at home.
Independently, US-Mexico economic integration prevents global recession.
Schiffer ’13 Michael, President of the Inter-American Dialogue “A More Ambitious Agenda: A Report of the Inter-American Dialogue’s commission on Mexico-US relations.” February http://www.thedialogue.org/PublicationFiles/IAD9042_USMexicoReportEnglishFinal.pdf

The first is to reinforce … negotiations toward the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP). 

Economic collapse causes global wars
Royal ‘10 director of Cooperative Threat Reduction at the U.S. Department of Defense (Jedediah, Economics of War and Peace: Economic, Legal, and Political Perspectives, pg 213-215)

Less intuitive is how periods … debate and deserves more attention.

The plan solves foreign oil dependence.
CFR, ’12 (Committee on Foreign Relations (John Kerry Chairman, Richard Lugar Ranking, William Danvers Staff Director, 20 other Congressional Representatives, “OIL, MEXICO, AND THE TRANSBOUNDARY AGREEMENT,” A MINORITY STAFF REPORT, December 21, 2012, http://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/CPRT-112SPRT77567/html/CPRT-112SPRT77567.htm)

The centerpiece of the TBA is … imports support U.S. energy security.

Dependence on oil breeds conflict – increases the incentive to go to war while short-circuiting barriers to conflict
Glaser ‘11 (Professor of Political Science and International Relations Elliot School of International Affairs The George Washington University, “ Reframing Energy Security: How Oil Dependence Influences U.S. National Security,” August 2011, http://depts.washington.edu/polsadvc/Blog20Links/Glaser_-_EnergySecurity-AUGUST-2011.docx,)

Oil dependence could reduce a … policies to ensure secure access. 

Dependence forces presence in the Mid East, which trades off with the Asia pivot
Krcmaric, 6/20 (Daniel, National Science Foundation Graduate Fellow and a Ph.D. candidate in Political Science at Duke University, 6/20/12, “Looking Ahead: America’s Role in the Middle East,” Global Trends 2030, http://gt2030.com/2012/06/20/looking-ahead-americas-role-in-the-middle-east/

As the United States winds … dependence on Middle Eastern oil.
Effective Asia pivot is key to solve China rise and multiple scenarios for war
Colby ‘11 (Elbridge Colby, research analyst at the Center for Naval Analyses, served as policy advisor to the Secretary of Defense’s Representative to the New START talks, expert advisor to the Congressional Strategic Posture Commission, August 10, 2011, “Why the U.S. Needs its Liberal Empire,” The Diplomat, online: http://the-diplomat.com/2011/08/10/why-us-needs-its-liberal-empire/2/?print=yes)

But the pendulum shouldn’t be … intervene is too important to be so wasted.

Advantage 2: Mexico
Mexico oil reforms won’t pass – public demonstrations and political opposition.
Kavanagh, 9/8 (Michael, “Mexico: Public hostility threatens Pemex reforms,” Financial Times, September 8, 2013, http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/99d3422a-13ce-11e3-9289-00144feabdc0.html#ixzz2eJttoiMw

Plans by Mexico’s president to … companies to exploit its resources.
The plan reverses that trend and builds momentum for reform.
CFR, ’12 (Committee on Foreign Relations (John Kerry Chairman, Richard Lugar Ranking, William Danvers Staff Director, 20 other Congressional Representatives, “OIL, MEXICO, AND THE TRANSBOUNDARY AGREEMENT,” A MINORITY STAFF REPORT, December 21, 2012, http://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/CPRT-112SPRT77567/html/CPRT-112SPRT77567.htm)

First, the TBA will, for the … domestic energy reform in Mexico.
PEMEX collapses takes out the entire country.
Samples and Vittor ‘12 (Tim R Samples and José Luis Vittor are associates in the Houston office of Hogan Lovells US LLP who focuses on transactions in Latin America, 6/21/12, “ENERGY REFORM AND THE FUTURE OF MEXICO’S OIL INDUSTRY: THE PEMEX BIDDING ROUNDS AND INTEGRATED SERVICE CONTRACTS”, http://tjogel.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/07/Samples-Formatted_Final_June13.pdf)

Current declines in productivity will … is currently capable of providing.44
Mexican collapse causes arms race and global instability
Haddick ’10 (Robert Haddick, Managing editor of the Small Wars Journal, 9/10/2010. Foreign Policy,http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2010/09/10/this_week_at_war_if_mexico_is_at_war_does_america_have_to_win_it SW)

Most significantly, a strengthening Mexican … from getting out of control.

Latin America instability causes extinction
Manwaring ‘5 (Max G., Retired U.S. Army colonel and an Adjunct Professor of International Politics at Dickinson College, venezuela’s hugo chávez, bolivarian socialism, and asymmetric warfare, October 2005, pg. PUB628.pdf)

President Chávez also understands … global security, peace, and prosperity.65

Advantage 3: The Relationship
US-Mexico relations are in a time of transition – Prisoner releases and NSA scandals have them on the decline.
Dallas News, 8/11 (“Drug lord’s release in DEA agent's 1985 death adds uncertainty to U.S.-Mexico relations,” By ALFREDO CORCHADO Mexico Bureau, August 11, 2013, http://www.dallasnews.com/news/nationworld/mexico/20130811-drug-lords-release-in-dea-agent-s-1985-death-adds-uncertainty-to-u.s.-mexico-relations.ece)

CIUDAD JUÁREZ, Mexico — The release from prison of infamous … he handles the thorny fallout.

Even if political relations are stable, there’s no energy cooperation is the squo – the plan resolves short and long-term gaps in our relationship.  
Brown and Meacham ’13 (Niel is a non-resident fellow at the German Marshall Fund of the United States, Carol is the director of the Americas Program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies. “Time for US-Mexico Transboundary Agreement”, 06/05/13, The Hill,
http://thehill.com/opinion/op-ed/303739-time-for-us-mexico-transboundary-agreement)

Such was the concern of many in ….first step along that path.
The aff is the key issue – energy spills over to broader cooperation
Pascual 13 (Carlos, Vice president and Director of Foreign policy, the Brookings Institution, “U.S. – Mexico Transboundary Hydrocarbon Agreement and Steps Needed for Implementation”, April 25th, 2013, http://naturalresources.house.gov/uploadedfiles/pascualtestimony04-25-13.pdf)//moxley

The Transboundary Agreement is …meaningful ¶ collaboration over time.
Strong US-Mexico relations are essential to stopping the spread of organized crime, drug trafficking, and violence.
Olson ‘9 (Eric L., M.A., International Affairs, American University; B.A., History and Secondary Education, Trinity College, Associate Director of the Latin American Program at the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars in Washington, as a Senior Specialist in the Department for Promotion of Good Governance at the Organization of American States, January 2009, http://www.wilsoncenter.org/sites/default/files/The20U.S.20and20Mexico.20Towards20a20Strategic20Partnership.pdf

It is time to strengthen the … that limits the reach of organized crime
Unmitigated drug cartels cause nuclear terrorism.
Shanker ’13 (Thom, 5/30/13, New York Times, “Globalization Creates a New Worry: Enemy Convergence,” http://atwar.blogs.nytimes.com/2013/05/30/globalization-creates-a-new-worry-enemy-convergence/?ref=drugtraffickingand_r=0, accessed 6/29/13, MC

Drug cartels along America’s southern …civilian sectors to create security.

Terrorism causes backlash against state actors resulting in nuclear war
Ayson 10 - Professor of Strategic Studies and Director of the Centre for Strategic Studies: New Zealand at the Victoria University of Wellington
(Robert, “After a Terrorist Nuclear Attack: Envisaging Catalytic Effects,” Studies in Conflict and Terrorism, 33.7, InformaWorld)BB
But these two nuclear worlds. . . with a devastating response.

In a remarkable website on … and fragile ecosphere as well.
The plan locks in permanent technical coordination – that’s independently key to prevent oil spills.
Brown and Meacham ’13 (Niel is a non-resident fellow at the German Marshall Fund of the United States, Carol is the director of the Americas Program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies. “Time for US-Mexico Transboundary Agreement”, 06/05/13, The Hill, http://thehill.com/opinion/op-ed/303739-time-for-us-mexico-transboundary-agreement)
Regardless of TBA approval, Mexico’s PEMEX will continue its deepwater exploration near the U.S. border. With memories of 

Deepwater Horizon still fresh, it … for Mexico and for the U.S.
Gulf of Mexico diversity is on the brink – any shock can be the tipping point
Craig ‘11  (Attorneys’ Title Professor of Law and Associate Dean for Environmental Programs at Florida State University (Robin Kundis, “Legal Remedies for Deep Marine Oil Spills and Long-Term Ecological Resilience: A Match Made in Hell”, Brigham Young University Law Review, 2011, http://lawreview.byu.edu/articles/1326405133_03craig.fin.pdf)//SDL

Ecological resilience and resilience theory …waters, however, suggests otherwise.

Ocean biodiversity loss causes extinction
Craig ‘3 (Robin Kundis Craig, Associate Professor of Law at the Indiana University School of Law, 2003, “Taking Steps Toward Marine Wilderness Protection? Fishing and Coral Reef Marine Reserves in Florida and Hawaii” http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1289250)

Biodiversity and ecosystem function arguments … Sea is not necessarily unique. 

Solvency
TBA solves our advantages.
Goldwyn ’13 (David L. Goldwyn, president of Goldwyn Global Strategies, LLC, an international energy advisory consultancy, and a nonresident senior fellow with the Energy Security Initiative at the Brookings Institution. David Goldwyn served as the U.S. State Department’s special envoy and coordinator for international energy affairs from 2009-2011, Neil R. Brown, Cory R. Gill, “Time to Implement the U.S.-Mexico Transboundary Hydrocarbons Agreement — Congress: Drop the Poison Pill”, http://www.brookings.edu/blogs/up-front/posts/2013/08/14-us-mexico-transboundary-hydrocarbon-goldwyn-brown-gill?rssid=LatestFromBrookings, August 14thJG)
The United States and Mexico concluded a transboundary hydrocarbons agreement, officially titled the “Agreement between the 

United States and Mexico Concerning Transboundary …be realized without further delay.

Action now is critical or they’ll cancel the deal.
Esenaro ‘13 (Alberto Alberto is a practicing Lawyer in Mexico, Graduated from Law School of Universidad and has advised Chambers of Commerce and US Counties in relation to Mexican business, 4/7/13, “QUICK WHITE HOUSE RESPONSE COULD MEAN A FOOT IN THE DOOR IN MEXICO’S HYDROCARBONS SECTOR”, http://mexicanlawblog.com/quick-white-house-response-could-mean-a-foot-in-the-door-in-mexicos-hydrocarbons-sector/

A quick response by the U.S. … about what’s good for Mexico.’ ”