Tournament: GFCA 1st2nd Year State Championship | Round: 4 | Opponent: Alpharetta ZZ | Judge: Nathan Rice
Advantage One is Multilat
Conflict Resolution - Only the plan creates a credible model
Dickerson 10 – Lieutenant Colonel, US Army, paper submitted in fulfillment of a Master of Strategic Studies Degree at the US Army War College (Sergio M, “UNITED STATES SECURITY STRATEGY TOWARDS CUBA,” 1/14/10, http://www.dtic.mil/dtic/tr/fulltext/u2/a518053.pdf)//SJF
Resources – multilateralism increases burdensharing that manages the transition
Jones, 11 – Professor of European Studies at the SAIS Bologna Center and Director of the Bologna Institute for Policy Research (Erik, “Power, Leadership and US Foreign Policy,” The International Spectator, Vol. 46, No. 3, September 2011, 13–23 http://www.jhubc.it/facultypages/ejones/International_Spectator_2011.pdf
Balancing- a commitment to greater cooperation is vital to managing the transition and protecting primacy
Terrif, 12 - Senior Lecturer in International Security in the Department of Political Science and International Studies at Birmingham University, UK (Terry, Debating a Post-American World: What Lies Ahead?, ed: Clark and Hoque, p. 47-51)
The alternative to multilateralism is unilateral militarism – the plan establishes a model for hemispheric diplomacy that sustains US leadership
Grandin 10 – teaches history at New York University and is a member of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences (Greg, “Empire's Senescence: U.S. Policy in Latin America,” New Labor Forum, 19:1, Winter 2010, pg. 14-23)SJF
Latin America is key to multilat
Sabatini and Berger 12, Christopher Sabatini is editor-in-chief of Americas Quarterly and senior director of policy at Americas Society/Council of the Americas. Ryan Berger is a policy associate at the Americas Society/Council of the Americas(Christopher/Ryan, "Why the U.S. can't afford to ignore Latin America" 6/13/12, CNN/Global Public Square, http://globalpublicsquare.blogs.cnn.com/2012/06/13/why-the-u-s-cant-afford-to-ignore-latin-america/)//AD
Rising powers are challenging the international system- multilat is key to prevent conflict
`Fujimoto 12 (Kevin Fujimoto 12, Lt. Colonel, U.S. Army, January 11, 2012, “Preserving U.S. National Security Interests Through a Liberal World Construct,” online: http://www.strategicstudiesinstitute.army.mil/index.cfm/articles/Preserving-US-National-Security-Interests-Liberal-World-Construct/2012/1/11)
Specifically-multilat is key to prevent US-china war
Economist 10 (Reknown newspaper “China and America are bound to be rivals, but they do not have to be antagonists,” December 2nd 2010, http://www.economist.com/node/17629709,)TL
Risk of US-china war is high and goes nuclear
Goldstein 9-2-13 (Avery, avid M. Knott Professor of Global Politics and International Relations and Director of the Center for the Study of Contemporary China at the University of Pennsylvania. This essay is adapted from his article “First Things First: The Pressing Danger of Crisis Instability in U.S.-China Relations,” International Security, Spring 2013.“China’s Real and Present Danger” http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/139651/avery-goldstein/chinas-real-and-present-danger,)TL
Thus the plan: The United States Federal Government should normalize trade relations with the Republic of Cuba
Advantage Two is Sugar
US corn ethanol inevitable unless US can import CUBAN sugar
Soligo and Jaffe, 10– Rice Scholar at the James A. Baker III Institute for Public Policy, Rice University AND Wallace S. Wilson Fellow in Energy Studies at Rice University (Ronald AND Amy Myers, Cuba's Energy Future Strategic Approaches to Cooperation, p. 97-101)
Raul Castro will say yes to sugar
Elledge, 08 (Nicholas, Council on Hemispheric Affairs writer, “Cuba’s sugarcane ethanol potential: Cuba, Raúl Castro, and the return of King Sugar to the island,” Council On Hemispheric Affairs, 10/29/09, www.coha.org/cubas-sugarcane-ethanol-potential/?)TL
NECSI, 11- New England Complex Systems Institute research institution that uses complex systems science to analyze current events such as food shortages and provide solutions (“The Food Crises: A quantitative model of food prices including speculators and ethanol conversion”, NECSI, 9/21/11, http://necsi.edu/research/social/food_prices.pdf)//TL
Sandoval, 2/7/13- Reporter for the Heritage Foundation citing Yaneer Bar-Yam, American physicist, systems scientist, and founding president of the New England Complex Systems Institute, which is a research institution that uses complex systems science to analyze current events such as food shortages and provide solutions. (Michael, “Ethanol Mandate Leads to Violence, Social Unrest”, Heritage.org, http://blog.heritage.org/2013/02/07/ethanol-mandate-leads-to-social-unrest/)//TL
Food insecurity creates a vicious cycle that makes conflict inevitable-prefer new escalation model
Simmons 13 (Emmy, Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars.
“Harvesting Peace: Food Security, Conflict, and Cooperation” http://wilsoncenter.org/sites/default/files/HarvestingPeace.pdf, CS)
Food wars go nuclear
CRIBB 2010 (Julian, Julian Cribb is a science communicator, journalist and editor of several newspapers and books. His published work includes over 7,000 newspaper articles, 1,000 broadcasts, and three books and has received 32 awards for science, medical, agricultural and business journalism. He was Director, National Awareness, for Australia's science agency, CSIRO, foundation president of the Australian Science Communicators, and originated the CGIAR's Future Harvest strategy. He has worked as a newspaper editor, science editor for "The Australian "and head of public affairs for CSIRO. He runs his own science communication consultancy, “The coming famine: the global food crisis and what we can do to avoid it,” p. 26,)
Advantage Three is Solvency
Only a normalization solves-conditional or partial lifting will be rejected
Mitchell 01
(The Decline of Political Pertinence: U.S. Economic Sanctions Against Cuba
Lieutenant Colonal Stephen D. Mitchell, United States Army, 2001 March 18, Strategy Research Project)
NTR is key to any trade actually occurring
French, 9 – editor of and a frequent contributor to The Havana Note. She has led more than two dozen research trips to Cuba (Anya, “Options for Engagement A Resource Guide for Reforming U.S. Policy toward Cuba” http://www.lexingtoninstitute.org/library/resources/documents/Cuba/USPolicy/options-for-engagement.pdf)