Tournament: Damien | Round: 1 | Opponent: Encinitas | Judge: Rawlings
ADVANTAGE 1:TRANSITION
Cuban reforms are inevitable but the loss of external investment risks economic and social collapse – offering normal trade relations is vital
Ashby 13, Senior Research Fellow at the Council on Hemispheric Affairs. He served in the U.S. Commerce Department's International Trade Administration as Director of the Office of Mexico and the Caribbean and acting Deputy Assistant Secretary of Commerce for the Western Hemisphere(Timothy, "Preserving Stability in Cuba After Normalizing Relations with the United States – The Importance of Trading with State-Owned Enterprises" 3/29/13, Council on Hemispheric Affairs, http://www.coha.org/preserving-stability-in-cuba-timothy-ashby/)//AD
Cuba under Raúl Castro has entered a new period of economic, social, and political transformation.
AND
Two-way trade must include both Cuba’s private sector as well as SOEs.
First, collapse makes conflicts in global hotspots more likely
Gorrell, 5 - Lieutenant Colonel, US Army, paper submitted for the USAWC STRATEGY RESEARCH PROJECT (Tim, “CUBA: THE NEXT UNANTICIPATED ANTICIPATED STRATEGIC CRISIS?” http://www.dtic.mil/cgi-bin/GetTRDoc?AD=ADA433074 GWOT=Global War on Terrorism
Regardless of the succession, under the current U.S. policy
AND
Or should the U.S. pursue a new approach to Cuba in an effort to facilitate a manageable transition to post-Castro Cuba?
Second, enforcing the embargo itself undermines the war on terror
Johnson, et al, 10 – Andy Johnson is a director in the national security program at The Third Way (“End the Embargo of Cuba”, The National Security Program, 9/6/10, http://content.thirdway.org/publications/326/Third_Way_Memo_-_End_the_Embargo_of_Cuba.pdf)//EX
Keeping the embargo in place requires that the US government devote
AND
Department could better focus on actual state sponsors
Greater focus and resources to counter-terrorism is vital – WMD terrorism risks are increasing
Clark, 13 - Bruce Clarke is a retired Army Colonel with extensive strategic, operational and tactical experience. He is widely published on a myriad of strategic and operational subjects. Immediately prior to his retirement from the Army, Colonel Clarke was the Director of US National Security Studies at the US Army War College (Bruce, The Examiner, “ The end to the war on terrorism--really?” 5/28, http://www.examiner.com/article/the-end-to-the-war-on-terrorism-really)
I have been struck by the response to what my liberal friends
AND
No one should doubt that al Qaeda
Hotspots all risk escalation to global nuclear war
David Bosco (a senior editor at Foreign Policy magazine) July 2006 “Forum: Keeping an eye peeled for World War III” http://www.post-gazette.com/pg/06211/709477-109.stm_
The understanding that small but violent acts can spark
AND
The United States, after all, invaded Iraq
The unconditional offer of normal trade relations boosts US-Cuban relations and fosters a stable transition
Koenig, 10 – US Army Colonel, paper submitted for a Masters in Strategic Studies at the US Army War College (Lance, “Time for a New Cuba Policy” http://www.dtic.mil/cgi-bin/GetTRDoc?AD=ADA518130)
The option with the greatest possibility of success
AND
The United States can’t stand by and watch Cuba regain strength
ADVANTAGE 2: MULTILATERALISM
US leadership is unsustainable without a highly visible commitment to multilateralism
Lake, 10– Professor of Social Sciences, distinguished professor of political science at UC San Diego (David A., “Making America Safe for the World: Multilateralism and the Rehabilitation of US authority”, http://dss.ucsd.edu/~dlake/documents/LakeMakingAmericaSafe.pdf)//NG
The safeguarding of US authority requires multilateralism
AND
Recognizing the universal need to restrain authority, the United States should
The alternative to multilateralism is unilateral militarism – removing the embargo establishes a model for hemispheric diplomacy that sustains US leadership
Grandin 10 – teaches history at New York University and is a member of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences (Greg, “Empire's Senescence: U.S. Policy in Latin America,” New Labor Forum, 19:1, Winter 2010, pg. 14-23)SJF
Washington’s relations with Latin America—particularly in terms of the gap
AND
as domestic ideologues, unchecked corporate power, and political paralysis quicken the U.S.’s fall.
Reliance on unilateralism will collapse US leadership and cause global wars with weapons of mass destruction
Montalván, 10 - a 17-year veteran of the U.S. Army including multiple combat tours in Iraq, master's of science from Columbia University's Graduate School of Journalism (Luis, “Multilateralism is Essential for Peace in the 21st Century” Huffington Post, 4/23, http://www.huffingtonpost.com/luis-carlos-montalvan/multilateralism-is-essent_b_550332.html)
Unilateralism is the wrong approach for American Diplomacy.
AND
Now is the time to create rather than divide common ground.
Normalizing relations creates a credible model for multilateral conflict resolution
Dickerson 10 – Lieutenant Colonel, US Army, paper submitted in fulfillment of a Master of Strategic Studies Degree at the US Army War College (Sergio M, “UNITED STATES SECURITY STRATEGY TOWARDS CUBA,” 1/14/10, http://www.dtic.mil/dtic/tr/fulltext/u2/a518053.pdf)//SJF
At the international political level, President Obama sees resuming relations with Cuba as a real step towards multilateralism and leadership.
AND
The U.S. could begin to lead again and reverse its perceived decline in the greater global order bringing true peace for years to come.
Any step short of unconditional removal means won’t create the same symbol of multilateralism
Vivanco 6- LLM from Harvard Law School, Americas director of Humans Rights Watch
(Jose Miguel, “Restraint, not force, will bring change to Cuba”, humans rights watch, 12/22/06, http://www.hrw.org/news/2006/12/21/restraint-not-force-will-bring-change-cuba, google scholar)KW
This reluctance would be understandable but misguided.
AND
Only when the US stops acting like Goliath will Cuba stop looking like David.