Tournament: Iowa Caucus | Round: 2 | Opponent: Shawnee Mission East WW | Judge: Mac Cook
Immigration will pass—proponents are optimistic—Obama can pressure weak Republicans
(Dann 10/24, Carrie Dann, NBC Journalist, "Obama: ’This is the moment’ to get immigration reform done", NBC Politics, 10/24/13, http://nbcpolitics.nbcnews.com/_news/2013/10/24/21116873-obama-this-is-the-moment-to-get-immigration-reform-done?lite)
The president’s remarks come as the rocky rollout of Obamacare’s online health insurance exchanges continues
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if he will bring reform legislation up before the end of the year.

Political capital is key—Obama’s influence injects a sense of urgency to pressure Republicans
(Grier 10/24, Peter Grier, CS Monitor’s Washington Editor, co-winner of the Society of Professional Journalists National Reporting Award and was twice a finalist for the Livingston Award , "Three reasons Obama is pushing immigration bill again", DC Decoder, http://www.csmonitor.com/USA/DC-Decoder/Decoder-Wire/2013/1024/Three-reasons-Obama-is-pushing-immigration-bill-again, October 24, 2013)
Immigration is an issue that has reached a crucial point. Democrats have long wanted
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when it’s down," writes Zeke J. Miller on Time’s Swampland blog.

Visas are key to cybersecurity preparedness

McLarty 9 (Thomas F. III, President – McLarty Associates and Former White House Chief of Staff and Task Force Co-Chair, "U.S. Immigration Policy: Report of a CFR-Sponsored Independent Task Force", 7-8, http://www.cfr.org/ publication/19759/us_immigration_policy.html)
We have seen, when you look at the table of the top 20 firms
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going to strengthen, I think, our system, our security needs.

Cyber-vulnerability causes great power nuclear war

Fritz 9 Researcher for International Commission on Nuclear Nonproliferation and Disarmament ~Jason, researcher for International Commission on Nuclear Nonproliferation and Disarmament, former Army officer and consultant, and has a master of international relations at Bond University, "Hacking Nuclear Command and Control," July,  http://www.icnnd.org/latest/research/Jason_Fritz_Hacking_NC2.pdf~~
This paper will analyse the threat of cyber terrorism in regard to nuclear weapons.
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its own, without the need for compromising command and control centres directly.

Tournament: Niles | Round: 6 | Opponent: Maine East BH | Judge: Ryan Timmis
China sphere of influence is expanding—economic assistance is cementing political relations
(Rosenthal 9/5, Terence Rosenthal , political consultant and writer who is currently interning at The Center for Security Policy in Washington DC , "China’s Pivot to Latin America", Center for Security Policy, 9/5/13,
http://rt.com/op-edge/spy-scandals-us-latin-america-176)
The quest for global naval power runs parallel to competition for control of markets in
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Venezuela as a launching pad for military and diplomatic influence in South America.

Reversing the policy of economic neglect kills Chinese negotiating power in the region

Fergusson 12 (Robbie, e-International Relations, 7/23/12, "The Chinese Challenge to the Monroe Doctrine," http://www.e-ir.info/2012/07/23/does-chinese-growth-in-latin-america-threaten-american-interests/)//DR. H

The Chinese economic threat to the U.S in the region
The U.S is still the most important economic partner for Latin America,
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-economic independence of the U.S that Latin America is exerting.
This is also symptomatic of a deep paradox in the American thinking about how to
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– as a lower cost, less politicized alternative to the United States.

That’s key to China growth—- profit and resources  
Ellis 11(Evan, a professor of national security studies, modeling, gaming, and simulation with the Center for Hemispheric Defense Studies, "Chinese Soft Power in Latin America: A Case Study" NDU press. 1st quarter 2011 http://www.ndu.edu/press/lib/images/jfq-60/JFQ60_85-91_Ellis.pdf SCTM)

Access to Latin American Markets. Latin American markets are becoming increasingly valuable for Chinese
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242 billion in lost soy exports and other damages for Argentina.14

Chinese economic crisis causes Taiwan war that escalates

Kaminski 7 (Antoni Z., Professor – Institute of xPolitical Studies, "World Order: The Mechanics of Threats (Central European Perspective)", Polish Quarterly of International Affairs, 1, p. 58)

As already argued, the economic advance of China has taken place with relatively few
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Australia and, first and foremost, the US clash in the region.

Tournament: New Trier | Round: 1 | Opponent: Kinkaid RB | Judge: Brian Rubae
Debt ceiling will pass—Obama’s key to bringing both sides together on negotiation
(Kaplan 10/11,  Rebecca Kaplan, "Debt ceiling, government shutdown talks finally begin: Is the endgame near?", CBS News, 10/11/13, http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-250_162-57607019/debt-ceiling-government-shutdown-talks-finally-begin-is-the-endgame-near/)
On Thursday, House Republican leaders presented a plan to their conference to raise the
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administration folks, and hopefully we can see a way forward after that."

INSERT LINK 

Political capital is key- Obama needs to preserve it to provide cover and also pressure
Douglas, 10-3 (William, Ending the shutdown: So many options, so little political will, McClatchy Newspapers, http://www.mcclatchydc.com/2013/10/03/204169/ending-the-shutdown-so-many-options.html, F.A.B)
Revisit a "grand bargain." Instead of just focusing on a short-term
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roll up his sleeves. That’s what it means to be a leader."

Failure to raise the debt ceiling collapses the economy

 (Davidson 9/10, Adam Davidson, writes the weekly "It’s the Economy" column for the New York Times Magazine, and a monthly column for the Plain Communities Business Exchange, won the Daniel Schorr Journalism Prize. His work has won several major awards including the Peabody, DuPont-Columbia, and the Polk,  NYTimes, 9/10/13, Our Debt to Society, http://www.nytimes.com/2013/09/15/magazine/our-debt-to-society.html?pagewanted=all26_r=0)
If the debt ceiling isn’t lifted again this fall, some serious financial decisions will
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free asset more risky, the entire global economy becomes riskier and costlier.

Guaranteed escalation—statistics prove  
Royal, 2010 ~2010, Jedediah Royal is the Director of Cooperative Threat Reduction at the U.S. Department of Defense, "Economic Integration, Economic Signaling and the Problem of Economic Crises, Economics of War and Peace: Economic, Legal and Political Perspectives", ed. By Goldsmith and Brauer, p. 213-215~

Less intuitive is how periods of economic decline may increase the likelihood of external conflict
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such, the view presented here should be considered ancillary to those views.

Tournament: Contact | Round: 1 | Opponent: NA | Judge: NA
ERROR

Tournament: Glenbrooks | Round: 4 | Opponent: St Ignatious LP | Judge: Michael Antonucci
The 1ac’s narration of violence and threats are not objective reality, rather they are a projection of the aggression of our own psyches.  Their method of approaching the world only works to abdicate our responsibility and recreate violence.  
Stein 3  (Howard, Professor, University of Oklahoma, Journal for the Psychoanalysis of Culture and Society 8.2 (2003) 187-199 Days of Awe: September 11, 2001 and its Cultural Psychodynamics).  

We not only need enemies (Volkan, "Need," "Blood Lines"),
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. The psychoanalytic work of comprehending September 11, 2001 is scarcely begun. 

The affirmative’s worldview is a projection of impossible utopia. This demands that threats to utopia be eliminated and the other exterminated – culminating in violent genocides
Stavrakakis, 99 (Yannis, Lacan and the Political, Visiting Professor, Department of Government, University of Essex, pages  99-100). 

Our age is clearly an age of social fragmentation, political disenchantment and open cynicism
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utopia? And is this crisis a development to be regretted or cherished?
In order to answer these questions it is crucial to enumerate the conditions of possibility
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:61). This final resolution is the essence of the utopian promise.
What I will try to do in this chapter is, first of all,
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functioning society as a highly problematic area (seminar of 18 June 1958).

The alternative is to reject the affirmative in favor of uncertainty. We must accept the impossibility of accessing the real and reshape our political activity around uncertainty.  This will result in democratic and ethical politics.
Stavrakakis, 99 (Yannis, Lacan and the Political, Visiting Professor, Department of Government, University of Essex, pages p 96-98). 

According to my reading, Bellamy, Butler and Lane are questioning the value of recognising the effects and the structural causality of the real in society; instead of the political they prioritise politics, in fact traditional fantasmatic politics. This seems to be the kernel of their argument: Even if this move is possible—encircling the unavoidable political modality of the real—is it really desirable, is it
ethically and politically satisfactory? The fear behind all these statements is common; it
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point for a renewal of democratic politics within a radically transformed ethical framework.

Tournament: Michigan | Round: 6 | Opponent: Blake LW | Judge: Joseph Buzelli

Movements against neoliberalism are growing—the plan’s insistence on US led economic engagement reifies neoliberalism’s hegemonic grasp. The alternative is a de-linking that challenges the system.

Harris 8 (Richard L Harris: Professor of Global Studies at California State University, Monterey Bay; Managing Editor of the Journal of Developing Societies (SAGE India); and Coordi­ nating Editor of Latin American Perspectives (SAGE USA). "Latin America’s Response to Neoliberalism and Globalization," http://www.nuso.org/upload/articulos/3506_2.pdf)
The economic, political and social development of the Latin American and Caribbean countries is
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reverse the denationalization (’globalization’) of the Latin American and Caribbean economies. 

This is necessary  to prevent extinction—tech and reforms fail

Richard A. Smith 7, Research Associate at the Institute for Policy Research 26 Development, UK; PhD in History from UCLA, June 2007, "The Eco-suicidal Economics of Adam Smith," Capitalism Nature Socialism, Vol. 18, No. 2, p. 22-43
In the midst of the record-breaking heat wave in the summer of 2003
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"endless technical adjustments;" thus no further theoretical thought is required."27

Ideological debates are key— structures of capitalist expansions are legitimized because discursive strategies are ignored

Margheritis and Pereira, 2007 (Ana, assistant professor of international relations and Latin American politics at the University of Florida, Anthony, associate professor of political science at Tulane University, "The Neoliberal Turn in Latin America: The Cycle of Ideas and the Search for an Alternative", Latin American Perspectives, Vol. 34, No. 3, Contested Transformation (May, 2007) pp. 25-48, JSTOR)
After more than two decades of research on the implementation of economic reforms in Latin
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The contested character of the processes analyzed here demands just such an effort.