Tournament: Lee | Round: 1 | Opponent: Unknown | Judge: Unknown
Growing state control of oil resources in Venezuela is limiting investment, restricting growth and democracy and increasing risk of oil shocks --- U.S. action is key to reverse the trend
Goldwyn, 13 --- President, Goldwyn Global Strategies, LLC (4/11/2013, David L., “The Impact of the Tight Oil and Gas Boom on Latin America and the Caribbean: Opportunities for Cooperation,” House Committee on Foreign Affairs; Subcommittee on the Western Hemisphere; “Energy Opportunities in Latin America and the Caribbean” http://docs.house.gov/meetings/FA/FA07/20130411/100622/HHRG-113-FA07-Wstate-GoldwynD-20130411.pdf, JMP)
Growing economic crises and ties with Iran are fueling narco terror networks targeting the U.S.
Shinkman, 13 --- national security reporter at U.S. News and World Report (4/24/2013, Paul D., “Iranian-Sponsored Narco-Terrorism in Venezuela: How Will Maduro Respond? New Venezuelan president at a crossroads for major threat to U.S.,” http://www.usnews.com/news/articles/2013/04/24/iranian-sponsored-narco-terrorism-in-venezuela-how-will-maduro-respond, JMP)
Results in WMD terrorism on the U.S.
Anderson, 08 (10/8/2008, Curt, AP, “US officials fear terrorist links with drug lords,” http://usatoday30.usatoday.com/news/nation/2008-10-08-805146709_x.htm)
Instability spills over to rest of the region
Shifter, 3 --- vice president for policy at the Inter-American Dialogue (7/16/2003, Michael, “Why Venezuela Matters,” http://nationalinterest.org/article/why-venezuela-matters-2388?page=1, JMP)
Impact is global war
Rochlin ‘94 James Francis, Professor of Political Science at Okanagan U. College, Discovering the Americas: The Evolution of Canadian Foreign Policy Towards Latin America, 130-131, Wake Early Bird File
U.S. energy engagement solves --- political and economic changes make Maduro’s acceptance likely
Shifter, 13 --- Adjunct Professor of Latin American Studies at Georgetown University's School of Foreign Service (3/11/2013, Michael, “The Empire Makes Nice: Is it time for a Venezuela reset?” http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2013/03/11/the_empire_makes_nice_venezuela_hugo_chavez, JMP)
U.S. resources and expertise are key
Farnsworth, 13 --- vice president of the Council of the Americas and Americas Society (4/11/2013, Eric, “ENERGY SECURITY OPPORTUNITIES IN LATIN AMERICA
AND THE CARIBBEAN, HEARING BEFORE THE HOUSE COMMITTEE ON FOREIGN AFFAIRS SUBCOMMITTEE ON THE WESTERN HEMISPHERE, http://docs.house.gov/meetings/FA/FA07/20130411/100622/HHRG-113-FA07-Wstate-FarnsworthE-20130411.pdf, JMP)
Expanding U.S. investment and partnership with Venezuela oil industry will revive relations
Clarke, 13 --- Associate Editor of America The National Catholic Review and MA in International Studies from DePaul University (3/25/2013, Kevin, “Chavez Death Brings New Chance For U.S.-Venezuela Engagement,” http://americamagazine.org/issue/chavez-death-brings-new-chance-us-venezuela-engagement, JMP)
This is critical to boost U.S. influence and mold the regional economic framework
Goldwyn, 13 --- President, Goldwyn Global Strategies, LLC (4/11/2013, David L., “The Impact of the Tight Oil and Gas Boom on Latin America and the Caribbean: Opportunities for Cooperation,” House Committee on Foreign Affairs; Subcommittee on the Western Hemisphere; “Energy Opportunities in Latin America and the Caribbean” http://docs.house.gov/meetings/FA/FA07/20130411/100622/HHRG-113-FA07-Wstate-GoldwynD-20130411.pdf, JMP)
This will boost U.S. standing in important Latin American regional forums
Delahunt, 12 --- chairman of the Venezuela-US Friendship Group and retired U.S. Representative (10/30/2012, William, “A new role for the US and Venezuela,” http://www.bostonglobe.com/opinion/2012/10/30/podium-venezuela/EJ6Jd2yRKfaJ76HYrXb4WJ/story.html, JMP)
And, the plan is critical to solve laundry list of impacts----Latin American relations key to solve proliferation, climate change, and insure economic growth. Only engagement solves.
Zedillo, et al 08 --- Commission Co-Chair for the Brookings Institute Report on the Partnership for the Americas and former President of Mexico Ernesto Zedillo, Thomas R. Pickering, etc, Rethinking U.S.–Latin American Relations A Hemispheric Partnership for a Turbulent World. Report of the Partnership for the Americas Commission, The Brookings Institution, November 2008, http://www.brookings.edu/~/media/Research/Files/Reports/2008/11/2420latin20america20partnership/1124_latin_america_partnership.PDF, ENDI File
Failure to rebuild ties on oil issues allows China to solidify its stronghold and use oil as a diplomatic weapon against the U.S.
Hurst, 08 --- political-military research analyst with the Foreign Military Studies Office and a Lieutenant Commander in the United States Navy Reserve (9/8/2008, “China's Global Quest for Energy; Rocky U.S. Relationship with Venezuela is Playing into China's Energy Policy Despite The Ocean Between Them,” www.thecuttingedgenews.com/index.php?article=740andpageid=andpagename=, JMP)
Triggers great power conflict with China
Salameh, 11 --- international oil economist, a consultant to the World Bank in Washington, DC on energy affairs and a technical expert of the United Nations Industrial Development Organization in Vienna (Second Quarter 2011, Mamdouh G., International Association for Energy Economics, “China’s Oil “Adventure” into Venezuela,” www.iaee.org, JMP)
This will also deck U.S. hegemony
Elton, 10 (8/19/2010, Doug, “What would happen if Chavez cut off the US from Venezuelan oil?” http://www.helium.com/items/1926791-chavez-cut-off-the-us-from-venezuelan-oil-china-benefits, JMP)
US primacy prevents global conflict – diminishing power creates a vacuum that causes transition wars in multiple places
Brooks et al 13 Stephen G. Brooks is Associate Professor of Government at Dartmouth College.G. John Ikenberry is the Albert G. Milbank Professor of Politics and International Affairs at Princeton University in the Department of Politics and the Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs. He is also a Global Eminence Scholar at Kyung Hee University.William C. Wohlforth is the Daniel Webster Professor in the Department of Government at Dartmouth College. “Don't Come Home, America: The Case against Retrenchment”, Winter 2013, Vol. 37, No. 3, Pages 7-51,http://www.mitpressjournals.org/doi/abs/10.1162/ISEC_a_00107, GDI File
China is using economic contacts to expand defense ties --- U.S. reengagement key to signal a firm response and deter conflict
Dowd, 13 --- served as an adjunct professor and lecturer at Butler University, a researcher and administrator at leading think tanks, and a congressional aide (4/19/2013, Alan W., “Monroe Doctrine Version 2.0,” http://www.legion.org/landingzone/214857/monroe-doctrine-version-20, JMP)
U.S. assistance prevents exclusive Chinese influence
Fillingham, 13 --- Managing Editor and Asia Analyst and MA in Chinese Studies from the School of Oriental and African Studies in London (3/10/2013, Zachary, “Post-Chavez US-Venezuelan Relations: Headed for a Thaw?” http://www.geopoliticalmonitor.com/post-chavez-us-venezuelan-relations-headed-for-a-thaw-4790/, JMP)
Solvency:
Relations are too low right now --- delay makes them worse
Inter-American Dialogue, 12 --- the leading U.S. center for policy analysis, exchange, and communication on issues in Western Hemisphere affairs (April 2012, An Inter-American Dialogue Policy Report, The Dialogue’s select membership of 100 distinguished citizens from throughout the Americas includes political, business, academic, media, and other nongovernmental leaders, “Remaking the Relationship: The United States and Latin America,” http://www.thedialogue.org/PublicationFiles/IAD2012PolicyReportFINAL.pdf, JMP)
Venezuela will say yes --- expanding oil production is critical for the country
Holland, 13 --- American Security Project’s Senior Fellow for Energy and Climate (3/9/2013, Andrew, “In Venezuela, oil and idealism won't mix forever; Venezuela's oil is too big for major energy companies to ignore and too risky to plunge into. Eventually, post-Chávez Venezuela will choose pragmatism over idealism,” http://www.csmonitor.com/Environment/Energy-Voices/2013/0309/In-Venezuela-oil-and-idealism-won-t-mix-forever, JMP)
U.S. leadership and expertise is key
Snow, 13 --- Washington Editor (4/29/2013, Nick, “US can play constructive Western Hemisphere role, House panel told,” http://www.ogj.com/articles/print/volume-111/issue-4d/general-interest/us-can-play-constructive-western-hemisphere.html, JMP)