Tournament: Hoedown | Round: 1 | Opponent: Coppell LM | Judge: Idriss and Abbas
Guest Workers 1AC
1AC — Manufacturing Advantage
Advantage 1—Manufacturing
US manufacturing in decline-labor’s key
Bloomberg 9/12
Thomas Black, reporter for Bloomberg, Sep 12, 2013, “Factory Rebirth Fizzles in U.S. as Work Shipped Overseas”, http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-09-13/factory-rebirth-fizzles-in-u-s-as-work-shipped-overseas.html#disqus_thread
Randy Webb sees scant evidence of a U.S. manufacturing rebound in the
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said by e-mail that the plant will close within a year.
Low wage immigrants are key to manufacturing—declining native workforce
Capps and Fortuny 7
(Randy, demographer and Senior Policy Analyst with MPI's National Center on Immigrant Integration Policy, Karina, author of “Children of Immigrants: 2008 State Trends Update,”, “Trends in the Low-Wage Immigrant Labor Force, 2000–2005” pg online at http://www.urban.org/UploadedPDF/411426_Low-Wafge_immigrant_Labor.pdf//sd)
As their absolute number and share of the low-wage labor force have risen
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ends of the labor marker will be needed to make correct policy choices.
Specifically, Mexican labor is key
American Immigration Law Foundation 02
Now called American Immigration Council, a non-profit organization to inform and advocate for pro-immigration reform laws, September 2002, Immigration Policy Focus, Volume 1, Issue 2, “Mexican Immigrant Workers and the US Economy: An Increasingly Vital Role,” http://www.robparal.com/downloads/Mexican_immigrant_workers.pdf
Almost every major industrial sector experienced a dramatic increase in its reliance on Mexican workers
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, Mexican workers were more than one-fifth of the entire workforce.
H2-B visas include manufacturing, but status quo cap is too low—guts US manufacturing competitiveness
Dickenson 6
(Elizabeth C, Director of Immigration Services, Representative for the US Chamber of Commerce, “GUEST WORKER PROGRAMS: IMPACT ON THE AMERICAN WORKFORCE AND U.S. IMMIGRATION POLICY” to the HOUSE COMMITTEE ON EDUCATION AND THE WORKFORCE July 19th, pg online at http://www.uschamber.com/sites/default/files/testimony/twptestimonydickson71906.pdf//sd)
The other major temporary worker program is the H-2B program, which is
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Department of Labor has said, it is cumbersome and litigation-prone.
Strong manufacturing is inextricably tied to US readiness—Foreign dependence and offshoring create terminal vulnerabilities
Adams et al. 13
(john, brigadier general u.s. army (retired) President, Guardian Six Consulting LLC, Paulette Kurzer, Ph.D. (Senior Vice President of Guardian Six Consulting LLC), Amber Allen Colonel Peter Aubrey, U.S. Army (Retired), Ryan G. Baird, Ph.D., Keith A. Grant, Ph.D., Janne E. Nolan, Ph.D., “remaking american security: supply chain vulnerabilities and national security risks across the u.s. defense industrial base” pg online at http://americanmanufacturing.org/files/RemakingAmericanSecurityMay2013.pdf//sd)
The United States’ national security is threatened by our military’s growing and dangerous reliance on
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materials, parts, and finished goods they produce for their own use.
Deterrence stops all war—credible conventional deterrence stops conflicts from escalating into global nuclear war
Cimbala 13
(Stephen J., INSS – Military and Strategic Affairs Program, professor of political science at Pennsylvania State University, “On Nuclear War: Deterrence, Escalation, and Control” pg online at http://i-hls.com/2013/04/on-nuclear-war-deterrence-escalation-and-control///sd)
During the Cold War, and especially in the 1980s, there were some serious
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war termination as feasible and desirable. There are considerable obstacles standing in the
way of that acceptance, not the least being the intellectual resistance by many, based on the assumption that deterrence is undermined by a willingness to plan seriously for its possible failure.
1AC —Immigration Advantage
Advantage 2 –Immigration
Undocumented immigration high- we control recency
Washington Times 9/23
Stephen Dinan, national political correspondent for the Washington Times, September 23, 2013, “Illegal immigration on the upswing, up to 11.7 million: report, we do not endorse racist/xenophobic language, http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2013/sep/23/illegal-immigration-upswing-report/#ixzz2frtmkfYn
The illegal-immigrant population has begun to tick back up with the improving
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administration doesn’t have a handle on the illegal flow across the southwest border.
Guest worker program for Mexico increases documented immigration and reduces incentives for undocumented immigration – status quo approaches fail
Bier, 5/31 - David Bier is a policy analyst at the Competitive Enterprise Institute. His publications are often posted on the Huffington Post (“Senate Bill Won’t Stop Illegal Immigration Without More Work Visas”, 5/31/13, we do not endorse racist/xenophobic language, http://www.openmarket.org/2013/05/31/senate-bill-wont-stop-illegal-immigration-without-more-work-visas)
Cards When the Senate “Gang of 8” released their immigration reform principles earlier
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Congress must amend this bill to head off another wave of illegal immigration.
Removing quotas is key to stop undocumented immigration – status quo approaches won’t remedy the problem
Jacoby 6-11 - Tamar Jacoby is known primarily for her writing on immigration-related issues. She is also president and CEO of ImmigrationWorks USA (“Guest Workers Are the Best Border Security”, 6/11/13, WSJ, we do not endorse racist/xenophobic language, http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424127887324634304578535823045836956.html)
With the Senate beginning debate this week on the immigration reform bill, border security
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scale up the Senate model so it can work in years to come.
Reducing undocumented immigration lets the border patrol focus on counterterrorism – status quo undermines ability to prevent threats
Barry 13
(Tom, January 9, 2013, Director for the TransBorder project at the Center for International Policy in Wash. DC. “With the Resurrection of Immigration Reform We'll Hear a Lot About Securing Our Borders, But What Does It Really Mean?” we do not endorse racist/xenophobic language, http://www.alternet.org/immigration/resurrection-immigration-reform-well-hear-lot-about-securing-our-borders-what-does-it)
One likely reason the Border Patrol does not address its counterterrorism in any detail is
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is, in effect, its strategic focus on the marijuana drug war.
Perception of strong border security is key to deterring terrorists
Willis 10
(Henry H. Willis , Joel B. Predd, Paul K. Davis, Wayne P. Brown , Henry is the Director, RAND Homeland Security and Defense Center; Senior Policy Researcher. Ph.D. from the Department of Engineering and Public Policy at Carnegie Mellon University.Sponsored by the DHS- RAND study, “Measuring the Effectiveness of Border Security Between Ports-of-Entry “ http://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/technical_reports/2010/RAND_TR837.pdf)
4.2.2 Contributions of Border Interdiction, Deterrence, and Networked Intelligence
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of these dependencies and factors that moderate the e? effectiveness of border security.
Risk of nuclear terrorism is high – no acquisition barriers
Bunn ‘7
Matthew Bunn, senior research director @ Harvard, Nuclear Threat Initiative, http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/09/24/AR2007092401154.html
Yes. Unfortunately, terrorist use of a nuclear bomb is a very real danger
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would allow terrorists to skip the hardest part of making a nuclear bomb.
Nuclear terrorism escalates to major nuclear war
Ayson 10
Robert – Professor of Strategic Studies and Director of the Centre for Strategic Studies: New Zealand at the Victoria University of Wellington – “After a Terrorist Nuclear Attack: Envisaging Catalytic Effects,” Studies in Conflict and Terrorism, Volume 33, Issue 7, July, obtained via InformaWorld
A terrorist nuclear attack, and even the use of nuclear weapons in response by
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, is further international cooperation on the control of existing fissile material holdings.
1AC — Plan
Plan: The United States federal government should implement a renewable, uncapped, portable guest worker visa for H2B visas from Mexico.
1AC — US-Mexico Advantage
Advantage 3 – US-Mexico Relations
US-Mexico relations are at a crossroads – US engagement over immigration is key to bolster cooperation on other issues
Shifter 13
(Michael, Michael is an Adjunct Professor of Latin American Studies at Georgetown University's School of Foreign Service. He is a member of the Council on Foreign Relations and writes for the Council's journal Foreign Affairs. He serves as the President of Inter-American Dialogue, “A More Ambitious Agenda” February 2013 http://www.thedialogue.org/PublicationFiles/IAD9042_USMexicoReportEnglishFinal.pdf
CLans) US President Barack Obama was sworn in for his second four-year term on January 20, less than
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open opportunities for longterm growth and job creation, and set the stage for further economic integration.
Immigration is the lynchpin for spillover to relations on other issues
Diaz and Selee 10
(Alberto Diaz-Cayeros—PhD in Political Science @ Duke; MA in
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as the vice President for Programs at the Wilson International Center for Scholars
‘Mexico and the United States: The Possibilities of Partnership’ Published in April 2010) L Shen
Even more important than binational civic networks, however, is the way that civic
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future although the exact direction this may influence policy is as yet uncertain.
US-Mexico relations are key to Latin American democracy
Castro et al 12
(Rafael Fernandez de Castro is the chair of the department of international studies at the Instituto Tecnológico Autónomo de México and former Foreign Policy Advisor to President Calderón; Condoleezza Rice is a Thomas and Barbara Stephenson Senior Fellow on Public Policy, Stanford University, former Secretary of State and National Security Adviser to President George W. Bush; Bill Richardson is a Chairman, APCO Global Political Strategies, former Governor of New Mexico, Ambassador to the United Nations, and Secretary of Energy. A Stronger Future: Policy Recommendations for U.S.-Mexico Relations; http://sunnylands.org/files/posts/159/stronger_f.pdf)
At the same time the global context has changed. The U.S.
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building greater understanding between their people as the two countries move ever closer.
Latin America is a key model for global democracy
Bacon 11
Perry Bacon Jr, 3-21-2011, "Obama lauds Latin American democracies as role models for the Middle East," Washington Post, http://articles.washingtonpost.com/2011-03-21/world/35207771_1_history-and-gain-clarity-pinochet-era-obama-administration, accessed 5-10-2013
Can the Middle East learn from Latin America? On his tour of Central and
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of power and how to navigate the winding paths of reform and reconciliation.”
Democracy solves extinction
Wollack 8
Kenneth Wollack, President of the National Democratic Institute for International Affairs, 2008, “Democracy promotion: Serving U.S. Values and Interests,” Northwestern University Law Review, Vol. 102, No. 1.
Needless to say, threats to American interests still exist. They include international terrorism
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nations; they are also pragmatic tools that are powerful weapons against extremism.
US-Mexico coop is key to solve drug trafficking—SQ cant solve
Gallaher and Schneider 13 (Carolyn Gallaher and Dan Schneider are professors in the School of International Service at American University; 5/2/13; Obama, Peña Nieto must save a vital part of effort to fight drug trafficking; http://www.csmonitor.com/Commentary/Opinion/2013/0502/Obama-Pena-Nieto-must-save-a-vital-part-of-effort-to-fight-drug-trafficking/(page)/2)
With President Obama visiting Mexico’s new president, Enrique Peña Nieto, today, it’s
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” to describe US involvement – words that suggest suspicion about US motives.
Narcotics cause Latin America instability, civil wars, and failed states
Messing and Hazelwood 12 (F. Andy Messing is the Executive Director of the National Defense Council Foundation, Bruce Hazelwood was a member of the Milgroup at the U.S. Embassy, “US Drug Control Policy and International Operations” 2012 http://ndcf.dyndns.org/ndcf/Publications/US_Drug_Control_Policy_and_Int_Ops.htm#_Toc449503510
CLans)
Presently, many drug producing countries are beset with guerrilla war. Therefore, in
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, a war of will and sustainment. The first to quit loses.
Latin American instability causes global war
Manwaring 5
Max G., Retired U.S. Army colonel and an Adjunct Professor of International Politics at Dickinson College, venezuela’s hugo chávez, bolivarian socialism, and asymmetric warfare, October 2005, pg. PUB628.pdf)
President Chávez also understands that the process leading to state failure is the most dangerous
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and their associated problems endanger global security, peace, and prosperity.65
Extinction is a real risk and comes first – life is inherently good and human extinction condemns all sentient life – our framing isn’t mutually exclusive but should come first
Matheny, ‘7 Jason Gaverick Matheny, Ph.D. Applied Economics, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland, in progress¶ M.P.H. Bloomberg School of Public Health, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland, 2004¶ M.B.A. Fuqua School of Business, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina, 2003¶ B.A. University of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois, 1996, http://jgmatheny.org/extinctionethics.htm
Moral philosophers have not written much about human extinction. This may be because they
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the next few centuries should be to survive long enough to colonize space.
The focus on methodology, epistemology and ontology destroy the effectiveness of theory- only by refocusing our discussions on practical policy matters can allow theory to resonate outside of the debate
Lepgold and Nincic 2K1
(Joesph, associate professor of Government at Georgetown and Miroslav professor of Poly Sci at UC-Davis, Beyond the Ivory Tower: International Relations Theory and the Issue of Policy Relevance pg. 6-7)
(SIR = Scholastic International Relations, the term for thinkers who discuss the theory behind real world processes)
This broad purpose covers a lot of specific ground. Policymakers want to know what
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balance must be rederessed if SIR is to resonate outside the ivory tower.