Tournament: Niles | Round: 2 | Opponent: GBS KV | Judge: Val McIntosh
1
- Budget tradeoffs undermine the U.S. pivot to Asia – Extinction
Colby 11 – Elbridge Colby, research analyst at the Center for Naval Analyses, served as policy advisor to the Secretary of Defense’s Representative to the New START talks, expert advisor to the Congressional Strategic Posture Commission, August 10, 2011, “Why the U.S. Needs its Liberal Empire,” The Diplomat, online: http://the-diplomat.com/2011/08/10/why-us-needs-its-liberal-empire/2/?print=yes
But the pendulum … be so wasted.
2
- Obama’s push ensures compromise to avoid default
Kuhnenhenn 9/8
Jim, “Issues test Obama’s persuasion, mobilizing skills”, http://www.salon.com/2013/09/08/issues_test_obamas_persuasion_mobilizing_skills/, MCR
Win or lose, … threaten a default.
2. Syria speech freed up Obama’s attention for debt talks – PC is key and finite
Bohan 9/11
Caren, “Delay in Syria vote frees Obama to shift to hefty domestic agenda”, http://carnegieeurope.eu/strategiceurope/?fa=52932, MCR
(Reuters) - Putting off a …the borrowing limit.
3. The plan prioritizes drilling over protecting investors, improving rig safety, respecting coastal communities, and conducting appropriate environmental review
Van Hollen 6-28 (Maryland Democratic Congressman, Democrat, “THE OUTER CONTINENTAL SHELF TRANSBOUNDARY HYDROCARBON AGREEMENTS AUTHORIZATION ACT (HR 1613) AND THE OFFSHORE ENERGY AND JOBS ACT (HR 2231),” June 28, 2013)
Mr. VAN HOLLEN. … otherwise non-controversial legislation.
4. Failure to raise the debt ceiling ensures collapse of the global economy, U.S. economic leadership, and free trade
Davidson 9/10
Adam, co-founder of NPR’s “Planet Money,” a podcast and blog, “Our Debt to Society”, http://www.nytimes.com/2013/09/15/magazine/our-debt-to-society.html?pagewanted=alland_r=0, MCR
If the debt … becomes riskier and costlier.
5. Nuclear war
Khalilzad ’11Zalmay was the United States ambassador to Afghanistan, Iraq, and the United Nations during the presidency of George W. Bush and the director of policy planning at the Defense Department from 1990 to 1992, “ The Economy and National Security”, 2-8-11, http://www.nationalreview.com/articles/print/259024, MCR
Today, economic and … in their regions.
3
- China’s expanding into Latin America---US influence is key to crowd them out
Dowd 12 (Alan, Senior Fellow with the American Security Council Foundation, “Crisis in the America's,” http://www.ascfusa.org/content_pages/view/crisisinamericas)
Focused on military .. the Western Hemisphere.
2. The plan limits China’s influence in the region – restarts U.S. – Latin Ties
Pham 10
Dr. J. Peter Pham is senior vice president of the National Committee on American Foreign Policy and the incoming editor of American Foreign Policy Interests., China’s Strategic Penetration of Latin America: What It Means for U.S. Interests, 2010, American Foreign Policy Interests, 32: 363–381
All of this … American products.89
3. Chinese influence key to prevent Taiwan independence
Li 07
He Li, Professor of Political Science at Merrimack College, Boston ENTER THE DRAGON? China’s Presence in Latin America, 2007, http://www.wilsoncenter.org/sites/default/files/EnterDragonFinal.pdf
Latin America has … far away from Asia.
4. Taiwan independence will spark US-China Nuke war
Lowther, staff reporter in Washington D.C., 2013
(William, “Taiwan could spark nuclear war: report” Taipei Times: Online: Mar 16, 2013:
http://www.taipeitimes.com/News/taiwan/archives/2013/03/16/2003557211)
Taiwanis the most … in the Asia-Pacific region.”
5. Goes global and nuclear
Hunkovic 9 (Lee J, American Military University, “The Chinese-Taiwanese Conflict: Possible Futures of a Confrontation between China, Taiwan and the United States of America”, http://www.lamp-method.org/eCommons/ Hunkovic.pdf)
A war between … in this study.
4
The United States federal government should enact a Congressional-Executive Agreement in order to codify the Transboundary Hydrocarbon Agreement.
The counterplan is distinct from ratification but solves the case
Geohegan, 6/18/2007 (Thomas – J.D. from Harvard Law, Forget Those Treaties! It’s Time to Do Away with Treaties and Start Passing Laws to Bring American Back in Step with the Rest of the World, Prospect, p. http://www.prospect.org/cs/articles?article=forget_those_treaties) MN
The next Democratic … make judges nervous.
Treaty ratification drains capital – data proves
Voeten, 12/19/2012 (Erik – Peter F. Krogh Associate Professor of Geopolitics and Justice in World Affairs at Georgetown University’s Edmund A. Walsh School of Foreign Service and Government Department, Why Has the Obama Administration Secured So Few Treaty Ratifications?, The Monkey Cage, p. http://themonkeycage.org/2012/12/19/why-has-the-obama-administration-secured-so-few-treaty-ratifications/) MN
The idea that … 1967-2008.
5
- The pursuit of modern economics and US engagement has at its root in domination and coloniality. This perpetuates total war throughout the world in the pursuit of the plan. Worse, modern colonialitycannot solve the problems of the world – It’s outdated and works to reproduce the nation again and again, in reproductive heteronormativity – That turns case – Means try or die for the K
Escobar ’04 Arturo, Colombian-American anthropologist primarily known for his contribution to postdevelopment theory and political ecology, “Beyond the Third World: Imperial Globality, Global Coloniality, and Anti-Globalization Social Movements”, http://www3.nd.edu/~druccio/Escobar.pdf, JCook. Acccessed 6/27/13.
- Modernity’s ability to … the third world.
2. Engage in border thinking. Border thinking is the redefinition of terms and ideas within a new epistemology, intended to redefine our thought in a new path away from Occidental, coloniality – That’s enough to solve the K and the aff
Grosfuguel ’11 Ramon, University of Cal. Berkeley, “Decolonizing Post-Colonial Studies and Paradigms of
Political Economy: Transmodernity, Decolonial Thinking, and Global Coloniality,” http://www.dialogoglobal.com/granada/documents/Grosfoguel-Decolonizing-Pol-Econ-and-Postcolonial.pdf, JCook. Accessed 6/25/13.
One of many … the European-centric modernity.
Case
1
PEMEX instability inevitable for several reasons – these cumulative risks to the industry crush the advantage
- Shitty pipelines
- Stolen by cartels
- ???
Martin and Longmire 11– Jeremy Martin is Director of the Energy Program at the Institute of the Americas, Sylvia Longmire is a Mexico Security Expert and President, Longmire Consulting (Jeremy Martin and Sylvia Longmire, Journal of Energy Security, “The Perilous Intersection of Mexico’s Drug War and Pemex”, March 22, 2011, http://www.borderlandbeat.com/2011/03/perilous-intersection-of-mexicos-drug.html) CB
Pemex exposed and … to reform itself.
2
Relations low – drug war, no immigration reform
Rosenblum, 2011 (Marc R. senior policy analyst at Migration Policy Institute, author of numerous articles, book chapters, etc. about US-Mexico migration issues, immigration policy, and the labor market initiatives). “Obstacles and Opportunities for Regional Cooperation: The US-Mexico Case.” Migration Policy Institute. April 2011. http://www.migrationpolicy.org/pubs/usmexico-cooperation.pdf.
On the other … fueling Mexican violence.
No super terrorism impact
Friedman 6 – MIT security studies program (Ben, 2/19, The War on Hype, http://sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?file=/c/a/2006/02/19/INGDDH8E2T1.DTLandtype=printable)
Most homeland security … would have it.
Risk of terrorism functionally zero
Harwood 9 Matthew, assistant editor at Security Management, “9-11 Creates "Misleading View of Terrorism," Expert Says,” 5/28, Security Management is the award-winning publication of ASIS International, the preeminent international organization for security professional, http://www.securitymanagement.com/news/9-11-creates-misleading-view-terrorism-expert-says-005702
The events of 9-11 … terrorism," he said.
No Korea war – its all posturing and international powers check escalation – history proves
Fisher ‘3-12
Max, the Post's foreign affairs blogger. Before joining the Post, he edited international coverage for TheAtlantic.com, The Washington Post, “ Why North Korea loves to threaten World War III (but probably won’t follow through)”
But is North … weak and misbehaving.
Other factors resolve the impact – your authors exaggerate the threat – airpower’s not key to anything
Times ‘9
Times, CSPAN and Wired. “F22s versus Russia’s Rusting Ramshackle Airforce” 3/30/2009 www.warisboring.com GBS-JV
Analyst Gregory Martin, … disaster – your author