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1AC Northwestern Camp TournamentTournament: Northwestern Camp Tournament | Round: 1 | Opponent: | Judge: 1ACPlanPlan: The United States federal government should approve the Trans-boundary Hydrocarbon Agreement.Contention 1 EconPEMEX is declining - fields are being used up – deep water drilling and private investment from TBA is needed to diversify Mexico’s portfolio. Reforms are criticalKerry et al. 12 (JOHN F. KERRY, Massachusetts, Chairman ¶ BARBARA BOXER, California RICHARD G. LUGAR, Indiana¶ ROBERT MENENDEZ, New Jersey BOB CORKER, Tennessee¶ BENJAMIN L. CARDIN, Maryland JAMES E. RISCH, Idaho¶ ROBERT P. CASEY, Jr., Pennsylvania MARCO RUBIO, Florida¶ JIM WEBB, Virginia JAMES M. INHOFE, Oklahoma¶ JEANNE SHAHEEN, New Hampshire JIM DeMINT, South Carolina¶ CHRISTOPHER A. COONS, Delaware JOHNNY ISAKSON, Georgia¶ RICHARD J. DURBIN, Illinois JOHN BARRASSO, Wyoming¶ TOM UDALL, New Mexico MIKE LEE, Utah¶ William C. Danvers, Staff Director ¶ Kenneth A. Myers, Jr., Republican Staff Director, "OIL, MEXICO, AND THE AGREEMENT", December 2012, http://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/CPRT-112SPRT77567/html/CPRT-112SPRT77567.htm-http://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/CPRT-112SPRT77567/html/CPRT-112SPRT77567.htm) PEMEX and oil decline will drive Mexico into a financial crisisKrauss and Malkin 10 Clifford Kraus and Elisabeth Malkin, Krauss is a national business correspondent based in Houston covering energy for the NYT, Malkin covers environmental and energy news especially for Mexico for the NYT, March 8, 2010, "Mexico Oil Politics Keeps Riches Just Out of Reach", http://www.nytimes.com/2010/03/09/business/global/09pemex.html?pagewanted=all26_r=0-http://www.nytimes.com/2010/03/09/business/global/09pemex.html?pagewanted=all26_r=0. Reforms are insufficient – private investment is neededOtillar 5-1 Steven Otillar, has been representing clients in the development, finance, acquisition and divestiture of domestic and international energy projects for over 15 years, with a particular emphasis on upstream projects in emerging markets, May 1, 2013, "Outlook for Mexico’s Oil Industry — Opportunities and Obstacles", http://cdn.akingump.com/images/content/2/3/v2/23206/Akin-Otillar.pdf-http://cdn.akingump.com/images/content/2/3/v2/23206/Akin-Otillar.pdf. TBA ushers in Mexican energy reformKerry et al. 12 (JOHN F. KERRY, Massachusetts, Chairman ¶ BARBARA BOXER, California RICHARD G. LUGAR, Indiana¶ ROBERT MENENDEZ, New Jersey BOB CORKER, Tennessee¶ BENJAMIN L. CARDIN, Maryland JAMES E. RISCH, Idaho¶ ROBERT P. CASEY, Jr., Pennsylvania MARCO RUBIO, Florida¶ JIM WEBB, Virginia JAMES M. INHOFE, Oklahoma¶ JEANNE SHAHEEN, New Hampshire JIM DeMINT, South Carolina¶ CHRISTOPHER A. COONS, Delaware JOHNNY ISAKSON, Georgia¶ RICHARD J. DURBIN, Illinois JOHN BARRASSO, Wyoming¶ TOM UDALL, New Mexico MIKE LEE, Utah¶ William C. Danvers, Staff Director ¶ Kenneth A. Myers, Jr., Republican Staff Director, "OIL, MEXICO, AND THE AGREEMENT", December 2012, http://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/CPRT-112SPRT77567/html/CPRT-112SPRT77567.htm-http://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/CPRT-112SPRT77567/html/CPRT-112SPRT77567.htm) TBA enables cooperation that leads to private companies to work with MexicoBrown and Meacham 6-5 Independently solves Mexican growth and ensures long term US productionKerry et al. 12 Economic decline causes Mexican collapse, US intervention, and immigrationBarnes 11 Joe Barnes, the Bonner Means Baker Fellow at the James A. Baker III Institute for Public Policy, written extensively on international economics, with a focus on the geopolitics of energy, April 29, 2011, "The Future of Oil in Mexico", http://bakerinstitute.org/publications/EF-pub-BarnesBilateral-04292011.pdf-http://bakerinstitute.org/publications/EF-pub-BarnesBilateral-04292011.pdf. Mexican collapse causes U.S. isolationismHaddick 8 (Robert, Managing Editor, Small Wars Journal, former U.S. Marine Corps officer, advisor for the State Department and the National Intelligence Council on irregular warfare issues, former Director of Research at the Fremont Group, http://westhawk.blogspot.com/2008/12/now-that-would-change-everything.html-http://westhawk.blogspot.com/2008/12/now-that-would-change-everything.html, MH) Hegemony prevents multiple nuclear conflictsBrooks, Ikenberry, and Wohlforth ’13 Mexican economic decline causes a flood of refugees, resulting in terrorism.Michael Brown 9, Undersecretary of Emergency Preparedness and Response in the Department of Homeland Security, "Border Control: Collapse of Mexico Is A Homeland Security 26 National Security Issue," 1/14, http://michaelbrowntoday.com/journal/2009/1/15/border-control-collapse-of-mexico-is-a-homeland-security-nat.html-http://michaelbrowntoday.com/journal/2009/1/15/border-control-collapse-of-mexico-is-a-homeland-security-nat.html US-Mexican border terrorism results in bioterror attacksKen Timmerman 10, Newsmax correspondent, "FBI Director Mueller: Al-Qaida Still Wants Nuclear Bomb," 3/18, http://newsmax.com/Newsfront/mueller-fbi-alqaida-nuclear/2010/03/18/id/353169-http://newsmax.com/Newsfront/mueller-fbi-alqaida-nuclear/2010/03/18/id/353169 Bioterror leads to extinctionAnders Sandberg 8, is a James Martin Research Fellow at the Future of Humanity Institute at Oxford University; Jason G. Matheny, PhD candidate in Health Policy and Management at Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health and special consultant to the Center for Biosecurity at the University of Pittsburgh Medical Center; Milan M. ?irkovi?, senior research associate at the Astronomical Observatory of Belgrade and assistant professor of physics at the University of Novi Sad in Serbia and Montenegro, 9/8/8, "How can we reduce the risk of human extinction?," Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists,http://www.thebulletin.org/web-edition/features/how-can-we-reduce-the-risk-of-human-extinction-http://www.thebulletin.org/web-edition/features/how-can-we-reduce-the-risk-of-human-extinction Contention 2: PEMEXThe US gas glut causes Mexican energy sector collapse – PEMEX can’t expand nowRodriguez, Reuters, ’12 (Carlos Manuel, "U.S. Shale Glut Means Gas Shortage for Mexican Industry: Energy," 9-4-12, http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-09-03/u-s-shale-glut-means-gas-shortage-for-mexican-industry-energy.html-http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-09-03/u-s-shale-glut-means-gas-shortage-for-mexican-industry-energy.html, accessed 3-18-13) PEMEX is critical to the Mexican economySamples and Vittor 12 (Tim R. and Jose Luis, associate and partners at Hogan Lovells US LLP, "Energy Reform and the Future of Mexico’s Oil Industry: The Pemex Bidding Rounds and Integrated Service Contracts", Texas Journal of Oil, Gas, and Energy Law, 6-21-12, http://tjogel.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/07/Samples-Formatted_Final_June13.pdf, accessed 3-18-13) Makes collapse inevitable – uncertainty and lack of planningMarketWatch 12 Laurence Iliff, Pemex declares critical natural gas shortage, 8/22, http://www.marketwatch.com/story/pemex-declares-critical-natural-gas-shortage-2012-08-22?reflink=MW_news_stmp-http://www.marketwatch.com/story/pemex-declares-critical-natural-gas-shortage-2012-08-22?reflink=MW_news_stmp PEMEX decline will trigger instability throughout Mexico – timeframe is 10 yearsKohl, Energy and Capital, 12 (Keith, "Crisis of Consumption," 11-27-12, http://www.energyandcapital.com/articles/mexican-oil-crisis/2833, accessed 3-18-13) Pemex success key to fight drug cartelsO’Sullivan, professor of international affairs at Harvard’s Kennedy School of Government, 12 (Meghan, served on the National Security Council from 2004 to 2007, and was deputy national security advisor for Iraq and Afghanistan, "Mexican Oil Reforms Are Vital on Both Sides of the Border", reprinted from CFR at Bloomberg, 7-30-12,http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-07-30/mexican-oil-reforms-are-vital-on-both-sides-of-the-border.html, accessed 3-18-13) Drug cartels cause instability – spreads trough the regionBonner 10 (Robert C., senior principal of the Sentinel HS Group, former administrator of the U.S. Drug Enforcement Administration, "The New Cocaine Cowboys", Foreign Affairs, July/August 2010, http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/66472/robert-c-bonner/the-new-cocaine-cowboys-http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/66472/robert-c-bonner/the-new-cocaine-cowboys**)** That causes extinction CONTENTION 3: RELATIONSUS-Mexico relations are at a pivotal point —- failure to ratify the THA erodes trust and collapses Mexican relationsKerry et al. 12 (JOHN F. KERRY, Massachusetts, Chairman ¶ BARBARA BOXER, California RICHARD G. LUGAR, Indiana¶ ROBERT MENENDEZ, New Jersey BOB CORKER, Tennessee¶ BENJAMIN L. CARDIN, Maryland JAMES E. RISCH, Idaho¶ ROBERT P. CASEY, Jr., Pennsylvania MARCO RUBIO, Florida¶ JIM WEBB, Virginia JAMES M. INHOFE, Oklahoma¶ JEANNE SHAHEEN, New Hampshire JIM DeMINT, South Carolina¶ CHRISTOPHER A. COONS, Delaware JOHNNY ISAKSON, Georgia¶ RICHARD J. DURBIN, Illinois JOHN BARRASSO, Wyoming¶ TOM UDALL, New Mexico MIKE LEE, Utah¶ William C. Danvers, Staff Director ¶ Kenneth A. Myers, Jr., Republican Staff Director, "OIL, MEXICO, AND THE AGREEMENT", December 2012, http://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/CPRT-112SPRT77567/html/CPRT-112SPRT77567.htm) It’s the key issue —- energy is leads to broader cooperationPascual 13 (Carlos, Vice president and Director of Foreign policy, the Brookings Institution, "U.S. – Mexico Transboundary Hydrocarbon Agreement and Steps Needed for Implementation", April 25th, 2013, http://naturalresources.house.gov/uploadedfiles/pascualtestimony04-25-13.pdf)//moxley Drug violence —- it’s only increasedMastangou 6/10/13 (Elizabeth, Global Risk Insights, Peña Nieto Policies to Change Mexican-US War on Drugs", June 10th, 2013, http://globalriskinsights.com/2013/06/10/pena-nieto-policies-to-change-mexican-us-war-on-drugs/) Increased US-Mexico relations key to stop the spread of organized crime drug traffickingOlson 9 (Eric L., M.A., International Affairs, American University; B.A., History and Secondary Education, Trinity College, Associate Director of the Latin American Program at the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars in Washington, as a Senior Specialist in the Department for Promotion of Good Governance at the Organization of American States, January 2009, http://www.wilsoncenter.org/sites/default/files/The20U.S.20and20Mexico.20Towards20a20Strategic20Partnership.pdf-http://www.wilsoncenter.org/sites/default/files/The U.S. and Mexico. Towards a Strategic Partnership.pdf) Mexico drug violence leads to oil shocks and economic collapseMoran 9 (7/31/09, Michael, executive editor and policy analyst, Council on Foreign Relations, "Six Crises, 2009: A Half-Dozen Ways Geopolitics Could Upset Global Recovery," http://fbkfinanzwirtschaft.wordpress.com/2009/08/07/six-crises-2009-a-half-dozen-ways-geopolitics-could-upset-global-recovery/) Nuclear warIslam Yasin Qasem 7, a doctoral candidate in the Department of Politics and Social Sciences at the University of Pompeu Fabra (UPF) in Barcelona, MA in International Affairs from Columbia, July 9, 2007, "The Coming Warfare of Oil Shortage," online: http://www.opednews.com/articles/opedne_islam_ya_070709_the_coming_warfare_o.htm Econ decline causes warROYAL 10 Director of Cooperative Threat Reduction at the U.S. Department of Defense Independently, US commitment is uniquely key —- prevents spillover and instability in Latin AmericaShirk 11 (David A., Associate Professor, Political Science, and Director, Trans-Border Institute, University of San Diego, "The Drug War in Mexico Confronting a Shared Threat", March 2011, pg. 26-27) | 10/29/13 |
1AC StanfordTournament: Stanford | Round: 4 | Opponent: St Marks | Judge: Ajay Vishwanath 1ACPlanPlan: The United States federal government should lift all economic restrictions on Cuba.Contention 1 is Conflict ResolutionScenario one is ObamaEngagement necessary in the squo to maintain international momentumDickerson ’10 (LT. COLONEL SERGIO M. DICKERSON, "United States Security Strategy Towards Cuba," Strategy Research Project, US Army, January 14th, www.dtic.mil/cgi-bin/GetTRDoc?Location=U226doc=GetTRDoc.pdf26AD=ADA518053) PD Concessions to Cuba uniquely key to Obama’s diplomacyFrench ’10 (ANYA LANDAU FRENCH, Director for the U.S.-Cuba Policy Initiative, "Stiffing Havana", Foreign Policy, October 19th, http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2010/10/19/stiffing_havana~~23sthash.Md6RdYCr.dpbs) PD Obama cred uniquely key to solve conflict- deals key to ensure East Asian peaceCoes ’11 (BEN COES, former speechwriter in the George H.W. Bush administration, "The disease of a weak president", September 30th, The Daily Caller, http://dailycaller.com/2011/09/30/the-disease-of-a-weak-president/) PD Scenario two is TradeGlobal commitment to free trade is collapsing – US hypocrisy regarding the CUBAN EMBARGO dooms all efforts to reinvigorate US trade leadership and the WTOAriyanti 12/6 (DESSIANING ARIYANTI, Associated Press, December 6th 2013, "Cuba throws wrench in WTO talks over trade embargo", http://news.yahoo.com/cuba-throws-wrench-wto-talks-over-trade-embargo-025234855—finance.html) This is fueling the violent breakdown of global trading networksBhagwati ’13 (JAGDISH BHAGWATI, professor, Columbia University, January 14th 2013, "Why the TPP is undermining the Doha Round", http://www.eastasiaforum.org/2013/01/14/why-the-tpp-is-undermining-the-doha-round/) Removing economic sanctions shows that the US is committed to the WTO dispute settlement body- that reverberates and generates momentum for the WTOAllen ’10, (Masheika, July 28th, former legal instructor at Strayer University, Florida International University, Masters of International Business 2011 - 2012 The George Washington University Law School Master of Laws in Litigation 26 Dispute Resolution 2003 - 2004 Florida State University College of Law Juris Doctorate 2000 - 2003 Florida International University Bachelors of Arts- English 1996 - 2000 http://www.writerscafe.org/writing/pnut1913/582992/) Indo/ Pak free trade increases economic interdependence and reduces the risk of warThe Diplomat ’13 (THE DIPLOMAT, magazine, Asia Pacific Region, April 15th 2013, "Growing India-Pakistan Trade Bodes Well for South Asia" ¶ April 15th 2013¶ http://thediplomat.com/the-pulse/2013/04/15/growing-india-pakistan-trade-bodes-well-for-south-asia/) PD That South Asia is one of the world’s least integrated regions has been well chronicled Kashmir escalates in the squo- Pakistani government, water scarcity, and fear of preemptive strike- effective conflict resolution keyKrepon 12/3 (MICHAEL KREPON, co-founder of the Stimson Center, December 3rd 2013, "Deterrence stability and escalation control in South Asia", December 3rd 2013, Rising Kashmir, http://www.risingkashmir.com/deterrence-stability-and-escalation-control-in-south-asia/) PD Contention 2 is Sugar EthanolDemand for ethanol is here to stay- RFSMead ’13 (WALTER MEAD, Professor of Foreign Affairs and Humanities, Bard College, "Ethanol Still a Boondoggle," July 17th 2013, http://blogs.the-american-interest.com/wrm/2013/07/17/ethanol-still-a-boondoggle/) PD Plan key to revive sugar biofuel production in CubaHolmes ’10 (MICHAEL G. HOLMES, graduate student, Georgetown University, Masters of Arts in Liberal Studies Thesis, "Seizing The Moment," June 21st 2010, http://repository.library.georgetown.edu/bitstream/handle/10822/553334/holmesMichael.pdf?sequence=1) PD The impact is global food shocksWise ’12 (TIMOTHY WISE, Policy Research Director, Global Development and Environment Institute, Tufts University, "US corn ethanol fuels food crisis in developing countries,"http://www.aljazeera.com/indepth/opinion/2012/10/201210993632838545.html) Record drought in the US farm belt this summer withered corn fields and parched hopes A diversity of studies confirm corn biofuels are a key internal link to global food shocksBryce 12 - senior fellow at the Manhattan Institute, is the author, most recently, of Power Hungry: The Myths of "Green" Energy and the Real Fuels of the Future Food shock instability escalates to all-out war and hurts the US economyKlare 12 (MICHAEL KLARE, professor, world security studies, Hampshire College, August 7th 2012, "The Hunger Wars in our Future," http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-215_162-57489345/the-hunger-wars-in-our-future/?pageNum=1andtag=page) Food shocks threaten stability everywhere- the impact is extinctionBrown ’09 (LESTER R. BROWN, founder, Worldwatch Institute and the Earth Policy Institute, Scientific American, May 2009, "Could Food Shortages Bring Down Civilization?" http://www.scientificamerican.com/article/civilization-food-shortages/ ) | 2/10/14 |
1AC USCTournament: USC | Round: 1 | Opponent: | Judge: TBHA 1acPlanPlan: The United States federal government should ratify the Trans-boundary Hydrocarbon Agreement.Contention 1 is InherencyPEMEX is declining - fields are being used up – deep water drilling and private investment from the TBHA is needed to diversify Mexico’s portfolio- reforms criticalKerry et al. ’12 PEMEX and oil decline will drive Mexico into a financial crisis in the squoKrauss and Malkin 10 Clifford Kraus and Elisabeth Malkin, Krauss is a national business correspondent based in Houston covering energy for the NYT, Malkin covers environmental and energy news especially for Mexico for the NYT, March 8, 2010, "Mexico Oil Politics Keeps Riches Just Out of Reach", http://www.nytimes.com/2010/03/09/business/global/09pemex.html?pagewanted=all26_r=0-http://www.nytimes.com/2010/03/09/business/global/09pemex.html?pagewanted=all26_r=0. First is PEMEX can’t expand now- the US gas glut causes Mexican energy sector collapseRodriguez, Reuters, ’12 (Carlos Manuel, "U.S. Shale Glut Means Gas Shortage for Mexican Industry: Energy," 9-4-12, http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-09-03/u-s-shale-glut-means-gas-shortage-for-mexican-industry-energy.html-http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-09-03/u-s-shale-glut-means-gas-shortage-for-mexican-industry-energy.html, accessed 3-18-13) Second is uncertainty and lack of planning- makes collapse inevitable right nowMarketWatch 12 Laurence Iliff, Pemex declares critical natural gas shortage, 8/22, http://www.marketwatch.com/story/pemex-declares-critical-natural-gas-shortage-2012-08-22?reflink=MW_news_stmp-http://www.marketwatch.com/story/pemex-declares-critical-natural-gas-shortage-2012-08-22?reflink=MW_news_stmp Contention 2 is the Failed StateFailed state instability spills over throughout Latin America- failed state Drug cartel violence increasing now- government is stretched thin.Mastangou 6/10/13 (Elizabeth, Global Risk Insights, Peña Nieto Policies to Change Mexican-US War on Drugs", June 10th, 2013, http://globalriskinsights.com/2013/06/10/pena-nieto-policies-to-change-mexican-us-war-on-drugs/) Scenario 1 is InstabilityDrug cartels cause instability – spreads through the regionBonner ’10 (Robert C., senior principal of the Sentinel HS Group, former administrator of the U.S. Drug Enforcement Administration, "The New Cocaine Cowboys", Foreign Affairs, July/August 2010, http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/66472/robert-c-bonner/the-new-cocaine-cowboys-http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/66472/robert-c-bonner/the-new-cocaine-cowboys**)** Latin American instability causes nuclear warManwaring ’05 – adjunct professor of international politics at Dickinson (Max G., Mexican state failure triggers escalating wars—draws in the USDebusmann 9 – senior World Affairs columnist Scenario 2 is Bioterror Bioterror leads to extinction US isolationism helps check conflictBrooks, Ikenberry, and Wohlforth ’13 1stis Relations: Relations key to steer new approach to solve organized crime- the alternative is governmental decline.Stratfor ’13 2nd is PEMEX: Pemex success key to fight drug cartelsO’Sullivan, professor of international affairs at Harvard’s Kennedy School of Government, ’12 (Meghan, served on the National Security Council from 2004 to 2007, and was deputy national security advisor for Iraq and Afghanistan, "Mexican Oil Reforms Are Vital on Both Sides of the Border", reprinted from CFR at Bloomberg, 7-30-12,http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-07-30/mexican-oil-reforms-are-vital-on-both-sides-of-the-border.html, accessed 3-18-13) Contention 3 is Mexican Oil ShocksOil production is falling steadily – a precipitous decline will occur in the status quoDavid Alire Garcia 6/5/13 (reporter @ reuters, graduate of Harvard University and correspondent in Mexico City, "Insight: Clouds Gather over Mexico’s Proclamation of a New Oil Dawn", Reuters, 6/5/13 http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/06/05/us-mexico-oil-insight-idUSBRE9540ZB20130605-http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/06/05/us-mexico-oil-insight-idUSBRE9540ZB20130605) The vast Ku Maloob Zaap oil field is the jewel in the crown of Mexico’s PEMEX decline causes global oil shocksMoran ’09 Oil shocks cause nuclear warIslam Yasin Qasem 7, a doctoral candidate in the Department of Politics and Social Sciences at the University of Pompeu Fabra (UPF) in Barcelona, MA in International Affairs from Columbia, July 9, 2007, "The Coming Warfare of Oil Shortage," online: http://www.opednews.com/articles/opedne_islam_ya_070709_the_coming_warfare_o.htm TBA will increase Mexico production from US assistanceWood 10 (Duncan Wood, Mexico Institute at the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars, 2010, "Growing Potential for US Mexico Energy Cooperation", p.3-4, http://wilsoncenter.org/sites/default/files/wood_energy.pdf) As noted above, the history of cooperation between the United States and Mexico on Contention 4 is SolvencyRelations: THA agreement stalled in the US and poses the biggest threat to US-Mexico relations. Pemex drilling in the gulf key to Mexico’s economy – but they need the US’s expertiseRampton, ’13 Econ: TBA enables cooperation that leads to private companies to work with MexicoBrown and Meacham 6-5 That independently solves Mexican growth and ensures long term US productionKerry et al.’12 | 11/2/13 |
Filename | Date | Uploaded By | Delete |
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10/29/13 | gay_brasher@sjusdorg | ||
2/10/14 | prashantdebate@gmailcom |
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