Tournament: Lexington Winter Invitational | Round: 1 | Opponent: Lakeland MS | Judge: Muno Ali

1nc iran

Obama’s PC is on the brink – he can hold off sanctions on Iran but must maintain focus

—assumes thumpers and PC low: obamacare, immigration, farm bill, minimum wage, or "anything else"
—PC solves non-u: will swing Senators currently voting under pressure from Israel
—perception immediate and key: Iran will miscalculate if it thinks sanctions will pass
—escalation likely: even if risk from any single crisis is low now, cumulative risk increases and makes inevitable
Finkel 1-15 (David Finkel, editor of Against the Current, sponsor of New Politics, "Will the Iran Deal Hold?" International Viewpoint, 1-15-2014, http://internationalviewpoint.org/spip.php?page=imprimir_articulo26id_article=3239)
A politically weakened U.S. president is pulled by a powerful domestic lobby
AND
their own rulers, the issues that produce one crisis after another remain.

New agenda items overstretch PC and trigger cascading prolif and war with Iran

Sabet 9-13 (Farzan Sabet, co-founder and editing manager of IranPolitik.com, doctoral student in International History and M.A. International History 26 Politics, Graduate Institute, Geneva, focused on international relations, international trade law, and Iranian domestic politics and foreign policy, "4: Iran: Resolving the Nuclear Crisis," Journal of Public and International Affairs, September 2013, p.74-77, http://www.princeton.edu/jpia/past-issues-1/2013/JPIA-2013-Final.pdf)
American President Barack Obama currently has an unprecedented opportunity to resolve the Iranian nuclear crisis
AND
last forever. Part three lays out the four policy proposals in detail.

War escalates, collapses the global economy and causes extinction

Avery 11-6 (John Scales Avery, Lektor Emeritus, Associate Professor, at the Department of Chemistry, University of Copenhagen, "An Attack On Iran Could Escalate Into Global Nuclear War," 11-6-2013, http://www.countercurrents.org/avery061113.htm)
Despite the willingness of Iran’s new President, Hassan Rouhani to make all reasonable concessions
AND
and future of all the peoples of the world, US citizens included.

Tournament: Lexington Winter Invitational | Round: 1 | Opponent: Lakeland MS | Judge: Muno Ali

1nc cp text

Text: The President of the United States should do plan, but change verb to make it competitive_.

Text: The President of the United States should issue an executive order to do the plan.

1nc solvency – mexico

XO solves the AFF – and Mexico is specifically asking for one

Fatka 13 (Jacqui Fatka, Feedstuffs, "Trade strengthening needed among NAFTA partners," 10-3-2013, http://feedstuffs.com/story-trade-strengthening-needed-among-nafta-partners-45-103054)
In a joint letter to President Barack Obama, Canadian Prime Minister Stephen Harper,
AND
said, adding that the Canadian and Mexican governments should issue similar directives. 

1nc Obama cred nb

Obama cred is low because of failure to make unilateral engagement decisions – acting unilaterally re-establishes credibility

Luxner 13 (Larry Luxner, citing Zbigniew Brzezinski, Senior Advisor to President Barack Obama on matters of National Security and Foreign Policy, former National Security Advisor to President Jimmy Carter, Senior Research Professor of International Relations, School of Advanced International Studies, Johns Hopkins University, Counselor, Trustee and Co-Chair of the Advisory Board, Center for Strategic and International Studies, member of the International Advisory Board, Atlantic Council, "Brzezinski: Obama Must ’Regain’ Lost Ground in Foreign Policy," Washington Diplomat, 1-31-2013, http://www.washdiplomat.com/index.php?option=com_content26view=article26id=884126Itemid=414)
Two days after the election that returned President Barack Obama to the White House for
AND
respected, and historically enlightened in its global engagement with the new East."

Turns the case – means US influence backfires – and triggers economic instability AND multiple scenarios for global conflict

SCMP 2K (South China Morning Post, "Position of Weakness" December 11, 2000, Lexis Nexis)
A weak president with an unclear mandate is bad news for the rest of the
AND
the world needs the United States to use its power deftly and decisively.

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