Tournament: New Trier | Round: 1 | Opponent: Gulliver HE | Judge: McKinney, Claire
1AC – Plan
Plan: The United States federal government should develop a Medicare insurance program with the Mexican Ministry of Health for American citizens living in Mexico. 

1AC – Economic Primacy 

Advantage 1 is Economic Primacy – 

It’s try or die for U.S. economic crisis – the plan utilizes a narrow demographic window to produce high rates of economic growth  
Wilson, US-Mexico expert at several think tanks, 11 – Christopher E. Wilson, Program Associate with the Woodrow Wilson Center’s Mexico Institute, where he focuses on U.S.-Mexico economic integration and border issues. He previously served as a Mexico Analyst for the U.S. Military and has also worked with the Center for North American Studies at American University and IQOM, Inteligencia Comericial, in Mexico City. Christopher completed his M.A. in International Affairs at American University, Mexico institute, Woodrow Wilson international Center for Scholars, “Mexico Institute Working Together: Economic Ties Between the United States and Mexico,” http://www.wilsoncenter.org/sites/default/files/Working20Together20Full20Document.pdf//BR

As the baby boom generation begins to hit retirement age, the U.S
AND
offer pathways to capitalize on Mexico’s favorable demographics that do not involve migration. 

Three internal links –
a. The Juggernaut – the plan is the single most important internal link to U.S. economic primacy – reverse-causal evidence that explicitly answers any alt causes or advantage counterplans
Wilson 11 – Christopher E. Wilson, Program Associate with the Woodrow Wilson Center’s Mexico Institute, where he focuses on U.S.-Mexico economic integration and border issues. He previously served as a Mexico Analyst for the U.S. Military and has also worked with the Center for North American Studies at American University and IQOM, Inteligencia Comericial, in Mexico City. Christopher completed his M.A. in International Affairs at American University, Mexico institute, Woodrow Wilson international Center for Scholars, “Mexico Institute Working Together: Economic Ties Between the United States and Mexico,” http://www.wilsoncenter.org/sites/default/files/Working20Together20Full20Document.pdf//BR

Mexico and the United States are no longer distant neighbors whose ¶ economies are engaged
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. policy attention to support Mexico’s efforts to strengthen its ¶ economic future.

b. Geographic proximity – only Mexico can utilize it – that’s key
Wilson 11 – Christopher E. Wilson, Program Associate with the Woodrow Wilson Center’s Mexico Institute, where he focuses on U.S.-Mexico economic integration and border issues. He previously served as a Mexico Analyst for the U.S. Military and has also worked with the Center for North American Studies at American University and IQOM, Inteligencia Comericial, in Mexico City. Christopher completed his M.A. in International Affairs at American University, Mexico institute, Woodrow Wilson international Center for Scholars, “Mexico Institute Working Together: Economic Ties Between the United States and Mexico,” http://www.wilsoncenter.org/sites/default/files/Working20Together20Full20Document.pdf//BR

With studies focused at the regional level, some analysts have argued that ¶ U
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for the United States to improve its global competitiveness and defend American industry.

c. Comparative advantage – Mexico builds regional success  
Wilson 11 – Christopher E. Wilson, Program Associate with the Woodrow Wilson Center’s Mexico Institute, where he focuses on U.S.-Mexico economic integration and border issues. He previously served as a Mexico Analyst for the U.S. Military and has also worked with the Center for North American Studies at American University and IQOM, Inteligencia Comericial, in Mexico City. Christopher completed his M.A. in International Affairs at American University, Mexico institute, Woodrow Wilson international Center for Scholars, “Mexico Institute Working Together: Economic Ties Between the United States and Mexico,” http://www.wilsoncenter.org/sites/default/files/Working20Together20Full20Document.pdf//BR

The lon

Tournament: Glenbrooks | Round: 1 | Opponent: Oaktown | Judge: Xu, Yunhan
We read two new impact calculus cards for the aging crisis, a new piece of uniqueness evidence for Senkaku Island war (an impact to the Mexico Economy part of the Economy advantage) and a new piece of solvency evidence -- 

Additional Aging Crisis Evidence 

Aging crisis outweighs on timeframe and magnitude – comparative ev
Peterson, 99 – Peter G., Former Secretary of Commerce, “Gray dawn: The global aging crisis,” Foreign Affairs78.1 (Jan/Feb 1999): 42-55. p. EBSCO. BR
THE LIST of major global hazards in the next century has grown long and familiar
AND
time to take an unflinching look at the shape of things to come. 

More comparative evidence – it’s the only try or die impact
Schieber, 2K – Sylvester J., VP/Director of research @ Watson Wyatt Worldwide and a member of the Commission on Global Aging, sponsored by the CSIS, Electric Perspectives25.5 (Sep/Oct 2000): 18-28. p. Proquest BR
Among the many trends that compete for the attention of today's policymakers, none is
AND
agendas and trigger generational tensions between those who pay and those who benefit. 

Additional Senkaku Islands evidence 

We’re on the brink of conflict – only the U.S. is holding back full-scale escalation
AFP, Today – (11/23/13) “US 'deeply concerned' over China air defense zone, John Kerry says,” Agence French-Press, re-printed in India Times, http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/europe/US-deeply-concerned-over-China-air-defense-zone-John-Kerry-says/articleshow/26286497.cms. BR
The United States is "deeply concerned" about China's plans to establish an "
AND
called for a "more collaborative and less confrontational future in the Pacific." 

Additional Solvency Evidence

Overall Medicare costs could be substantially slashed – savings could reach 35-70
Ibarra, ’11 – Sociology Professor @ University of New Mexico – Roberto, “The Initiative to extend Medicare into Mexico,” Health, Culture and Society: Volume 1, No. 1, http://hcs.pitt.edu/ojs/index.php/hcs/article/view/55/84. BR
In 2009, a non-profit organization called the Americans for Medicare in Mexico
AND
move more U.S. health service¶ jobs across the border.

Tournament: Iowa Caucus | Round: 2 | Opponent: Blue Valley North WY | Judge: Baxter-Kauf, Mike
Advantage 1 is Economy – 

SCENARIO A IS THE U.S.

It’s try or die for U.S. economic crisis – the plan utilizes a narrow demographic window to produce high rates of economic growth  
Wilson, US-Mexico expert at several think tanks, 11 – Christopher E. Wilson, Program Associate with the Woodrow Wilson Center’s Mexico Institute, where he focuses on U.S.-Mexico economic integration and border issues. He previously served as a Mexico Analyst for the U.S. Military and has also worked with the Center for North American Studies at American University and IQOM, Inteligencia Comericial, in Mexico City. Christopher completed his M.A. in International Affairs at American University, Mexico institute, Woodrow Wilson international Center for Scholars, “Mexico Institute Working Together: Economic Ties Between the United States and Mexico,” http://www.wilsoncenter.org/sites/default/files/Working20Together20Full20Document.pdf//BR
As the baby boom generation begins to hit retirement age, the U.S
AND
offer pathways to capitalize on Mexico’s favorable demographics that do not involve migration. 

The plan is the single most important internal link to economic primacy – alternate causes and advantage CPs are non-starters
Wilson, 11 – Christopher E. Wilson, Program Associate with the Woodrow Wilson Center’s Mexico Institute, where he focuses on U.S.-Mexico economic integration and border issues. He previously served as a Mexico Analyst for the U.S. Military and has also worked with the Center for North American Studies at American University and IQOM, Inteligencia Comericial, in Mexico City. Christopher completed his M.A. in International Affairs at American University, Mexico institute, Woodrow Wilson international Center for Scholars, “Mexico Institute Working Together: Economic Ties Between the United States and Mexico,” http://www.wilsoncenter.org/sites/default/files/Working20Together20Full20Document.pdf//BR
Mexico and the United States are no longer distant neighbors whose ¶ economies are engaged
AND
. policy attention to support Mexico’s efforts to strengthen its ¶ economic future.

Declining U.S. economic primacy triggers arms races, miscalc and great power war
Khalilzad, PhD, Former Ambassador and Professor, 11 –Former Professor of Political Science @ Columbia, Former ambassador to Iraq and Afghanistan
(Zalmay Khalilzad was the United States ambassador to Afghanistan, Iraq, and the United Nations during the presidency of George W. Bush and the director of policy planning at the Defense Department from 1990 to 1992. "The Economy and National Security" Feb 8 http://www.nationalreview.com/articles/259024/economy-and-national-security-zalmay-khalilzad)//BB
Today, economic and fiscal trends pose the most severe long-term threat to
AND
, hostile states would be emboldened to make aggressive moves in their regions. 

SCENARIO B IS MEXICO

Mexico’s economy is plummeting because it can’t attract new outside investment
Wilkinson, 10-1-13 – Tracy, Columnist with the Los Angeles Times, “Economists dial down projections for Mexico's growth,” LA Times, http://www.latimes.com/world/worldnow/la-fg-wn-mexico-economy-pena-nieto-20131001,0,711698.story. BR
Storms and insecurity are further eroding once-optimistic predictions for Mexico’s economic growth,
AND
insecurity: for investing and for surviving,” columnist Alejandro Paez Varela wrote.

Reverse causal evidence that the plan solves the Mexican economy by contributing upwards of $6 billion annually
CSIS, No date – Center for Strategic and International Studies, “Medicare in Mexico,” http://csis.org/blog/medicare-mexico. BR
This topic has not gone unnoticed in Mexico or the United States. In Mexico
AND
example when considering how to extend Medicare benefits to retirees living in Mexico.

Mexican collapse saps critical diplomatic operating room
Haddick 8 - University of Illinois, managing editor of the Small Wars Journal, was a U.S. Marine Corps officer, served in the 3rd and 23rd Marine Regiments, and deployed to Asia and Africa. He has advised the State Department, the National Intelli

Tournament: TOC | Round: 3 | Opponent: Dowling WZ | Judge: Vitz
Specifically, budgetary constraints halt the development of game-changing technologies in favor of manipulating existing systems
Brimley et al – 13 (Shawn Brimley is the Vice President and Director of Studies at the Center for a New American Security.; Ben FitzGerald is a Senior Fellow and the Director of the Technology and National Security Program at the Center for a New American Security.; Kelley Sayler is a Research Associate at the Center for a New American Security.; “Game Changers: Disruptive Technology and U.S. Defense Strategy”; DISRUPTIVE DEFENSE PAPERS, Center for a New American Security; SEPTEMBER 2013; http://www.cnas.org/sites/default/files/publications-pdf/CNAS_Gamechangers_BrimleyFitzGeraldSayler.pdf) CJC
VI. INNOVATION BARRIERS¶ The tremendous potential of these game-changing¶ technologies
AND
and potential¶ game-changing technologies continues during the¶ current downturn.
Staying ahead on “game changers” is vital to prevent next-generation warfare – that’s key to sustainable hegemony and all conflict de-escalation, but budgets are key  
Brimley et al – 13 (Shawn Brimley is the Vice President and Director of Studies at the Center for a New American Security.; Ben FitzGerald is a Senior Fellow and the Director of the Technology and National Security Program at the Center for a New American Security.; Kelley Sayler is a Research Associate at the Center for a New American Security.; “Game Changers: Disruptive Technology and U.S. Defense Strategy”; DISRUPTIVE DEFENSE PAPERS, Center for a New American Security; SEPTEMBER 2013; http://www.cnas.org/sites/default/files/publications-pdf/CNAS_Gamechangers_BrimleyFitzGeraldSayler.pdf) CJC
During the next decade, the rise of new powers and¶ the accelerating diffusion
AND
better connect emerging technologies with U.S.¶ policy and strategy development.

“Game changers” fundamentally reshape all warfare by reducing the scope and nature of war itself
Brimley et al – 13 (Shawn Brimley is the Vice President and Director of Studies at the Center for a New American Security.; Ben FitzGerald is a Senior Fellow and the Director of the Technology and National Security Program at the Center for a New American Security.; Kelley Sayler is a Research Associate at the Center for a New American Security.; “Game Changers: Disruptive Technology and U.S. Defense Strategy”; DISRUPTIVE DEFENSE PAPERS, Center for a New American Security; SEPTEMBER 2013; http://www.cnas.org/sites/default/files/publications-pdf/CNAS_Gamechangers_BrimleyFitzGeraldSayler.pdf) CJC
The game-changing potential of these technologies¶ is becoming increasingly apparent as defense
AND
strategic nature of military¶ competition and even the conduct of war itself.

Studying and understanding the potential for advanced technologies now is critical – our evidence uses advice and input from experts across the spectrum to understand how both can and cannot be used and to open up questions of all aspects to inform understanding. Debate and discussion about these things are critical to policy development.
Singer et al – 13 (Peter W. Singer is the Director of the Center for 21st Century Security and Intelligence and a Senior Fellow in the Foreign Policy Program at the Brookings Institution.; Shawn Brimley is the Vice President and Director of Studies at the Center for a New American Security.; Ben FitzGerald is a Senior Fellow and the Director of the Technology and National Security Program at the Center for a New American Security.; Kelley Sayler is a Research Associate at the Center for a New American Security.; “Game Changers: Disruptive Technology and U.S. Defense Strategy”; DISRUPTIVE DEFENSE PAPERS, Center for a New American Security; SEPTEMBER 2013; http://www.cnas.org/sites/default/files/publications-pdf/CNAS_Gamechangers_BrimleyFitzGeraldSayler.pdf) CJC

Although the Predator drone still seems like science¶ fiction to many in the public
AND
to be determined¶ whether it will be left to the next generation.

Tournament: TOC | Round: 2 | Opponent: Blake SW | Judge: Justice, Jake
We control predictive uniqueness – momentum means engagement will ramp-up
Needham, 9-19-13 – Vicki, “Biden heading to Mexico to talk trade, economic ties,” The Hill, http://thehill.com/blogs/on-the-money/economy/323329-biden-heading-to-mexico-to-talk-trade-economic-ties. BR
Vice President Biden is heading to Mexico later Thursday to kick off the first-
AND
billion and Mexico is the second largest export market and third largest trading partner
Widespread U.S.-Mexico economic cooperation now and inevitable
Department of Commerce, 10-29-13 – “U.S. Secretary of Commerce Penny Pritzker Works to Encourage North American Economic Cooperation,” http://www.commerce.gov/blog/2013/10/29/us-secretary-commerce-penny-pritzker-works-encourage-north-american-economic-coopera. BR
The United States, Mexico and Canada have come a long way since NAFTA launched
AND
a skilled workforce, and has made tremendous investments in research and development.
Mexico has already appropriated funding and resources to create a high-speed rail line from San Antonio to Monterrey that would revolutionize travel in the region; it’s just a matter of US passage
Llenas 14 (Bryan Llenas, Fox News Latino, “Next-Generation Border Crossing: First-Ever High Speed Train to Connect US and Mexico by 2018,” January 16, 2014, http://latino.foxnews.com/latino/money/2014/01/16/next-generation-border-crossing-first-ever-high-speed-train-to-connect-us-and/, TSD)
U.S. and Mexican officials held a high level meeting on Thursday to
AND
at the center of a turf war between the Zetas and Gulf cartels.¶
SCENARIO ONE IS MANUFACTURING—
Congestion threatens trade and manufacturing now
Wilson and Lee 12 (Christopher Wilson, Associate at the Wilson Center’s Mexico Institute, and Erik Lee, Associate Director at the North American Center for Transborder Studies, Site Selection, “Whole Nations Waiting: Trade Sets Records, but Congestion Threatens Competitiveness,” July 2012 http://www.siteselection.com/issues/2012/jul/us-mex-border.cfm?s=mp)
Commerce between the United States and Mexico is one of the great — yet underappreciated
AND
vetted, low-risk individuals and shipments expedited passage across the border.

Plan solves trade and congestion—moves goods faster and removes pressure on current ports of entry to allow faster truck delivery
IBNewsMag 14 (IBNewsMag, “US and Mexico Could be Connected by a Multi-Billion Dollar High Speed Train from San Antonio to Monterrey,” February 4, 2014, http://ibnewsmag.com/wordpress/us-and-mexico-could-be-connected-by-multi-billion-dollar-high-speed-train-from-san-antonio-to-monterrey/)
February 4, 2014 – Mail Online News reports that a multi-billion-
AND
traffic congestion there is costing Americans $63.1 billion a year.

Increased border efficiency solves manufacturing—reduces costs and improves business competitiveness
Chamber of Commerce 11 (“Steps to a 21st Century U.S.-Mexico Border”, http://www.uschamber.com/sites/default/files/reports/mexicoreportfullbook.pdf, June 9 2011, US Chamber of Commerce)
The United States and Mexico share a border of nearly 2,000 miles,
AND
the United States and Mexico, translating to job growth in both countries. 

Manufacturing is key to hegemony and the economy—empirics prove
Rynn 11 author of the book Manufacturing Green Prosperity: The power to rebuild the American middle class, available from Praeger Press. He holds a Ph.D. in political science and is a Visiting Scholar at the CUNY Institute for Urban Systems. (Jon, "Six Reasons Manufacturing is Central to the Economy," 5/23/11, http://www.nextnewdeal.net/six-reasons-manufacturing-central-economy)
Without a robust revival in the manufacturing sector, we can kiss our status as
AND
and rebuild the foundation of a strong, prosperous, middle class economy.

Deep American engagement prevents full-scale great power war – data and qualified scholarship prove we control the key internal link to all conflict escalation
Brooks et al, Ivy League professors, ’13 (Stephen, Associate Professor of
AND
. 3 (Winter 2012/13), pp. 7–51)
A core premise of deep engagement is that it prevents the emergenceof a far more
AND
that of potential rivals is by many measures growing rather than shrinking. 85

Scaling back causes a quick transition war because the power vacuum triggers perception-based escalation
Schaefer and Poffenbarger, Professors, ‘9 – Mark Schaefer* (Department of History Philosophy Political Science and Religion Marietta College) and John Poffenbarger (Department of Social Sciences Wheeling Jesuit University), February 17, Searching for Acceptance: The United States and South America, Page 6-7, http://www.allacademic.com//meta/p_mla_apa_research_citation/3/1/0/5/4/pages310549/p310549-1.php)
It is our contention that a strategy of hegemony is preferable to one of offshore
AND
taking steps to mitigate the motivations for balancing while seeking to attract bandwagoners.
“Heg bad” isn’t offense – the U.S. will always attempt to retain primacy using Air and Sea power, but scaling back land power is uniquely dangerous
Thayer, former Harvard Fellow and Dartmouth Prof, ‘7 – Fellow at the Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs at the Kennedy School of Government at Harvard University and has taught at Dartmouth College. Bradley A. American Empire: A Debate. Routledge Press: Taylor and Francis Group, NY. P. 116-117BR
There is no viable alternative grand strategy for the United States than primacy. Primacy
AND
. The United States would be far less secure in such a world.
Economic decline is why heg is unsustainable – it’s the vital determinant
Robert A. Pape, ‘9. Professor of political science at the University of Chicago. “Empire Falls,” The National Interest, January 2009 - February 2009. Lexis.
FROM ROME, Imperial China, Venice, Spain, France, Great Britain and
AND
This new reality has tremendous implications for the future of American grand strategy.

Declining U.S. economic primacy triggers arms races, miscalc and great power war
Khalilzad, PhD, Former Ambassador and Professor, 11 –Former Professor of Political Science @ Columbia, Former ambassador to Iraq and Afghanistan
(Zalmay Khalilzad was the United States ambassador to Afghanistan, Iraq, and the United Nations during the presidency of George W. Bush and the director of policy planning at the Defense Department from 1990 to 1992. "The Economy and National Security" Feb 8 http://www.nationalreview.com/articles/259024/economy-and-national-security-zalmay-khalilzad)//BB
Today, economic and fiscal trends pose the most severe long-term threat to
AND
, hostile states would be emboldened to make aggressive moves in their regions.
SCENARIO TWO IS TRADE—
Plan solves trade—cuts cross-border travel times in half
Carr 14 (Heather Carr, Clean Technica, “US-Mexico High-Speed Railway Proposed,” January 25, 2014, http://cleantechnica.com/2014/01/25/us-mexico-high-speed-railway-proposed/)
A proposed high-speed rail line between the U.S. and Mexico
AND
lead on a light-blue infrastructure project like high-speed rail?
Trade is the key conflict dampener—collapse makes all conflicts more likely
Panzner 8 Michael, faculty at the New York Institute of Finance, 25-year veteran of the global stock, bond, and currency markets who has worked in New York and London for HSBC, Soros Funds, ABN Amro, Dresdner Bank, and JPMorgan Chase “Financial Armageddon: Protect Your Future from Economic Collapse,” pg. 136-138
Continuing calls for curbs on the flow of finance and trade will inspire the United
AND
between Muslims and Western societies as the beginnings of a new world war.
Trade is the vital internal to war – creates peace dividends, democratic cooperation and raises the cost of war – robust data proves
Griswold 11 (Daniel Griswold is director of the Center for Trade Policy Studies at the Cato Institute and author of Mad about Trade: Why Main Street America Should Embrace Globalization. “Free Trade and the Global Middle Class,” Hayek Society Journal Vol. 9 http://www.cato.org/pubs/articles/Hayek-Society-Journal-Griswold.pdf)
Our more globalized world has also yielded a “peace dividend.” It may not
AND
and less likely those gains will be destroyed by civil conflict and war.
Conflicts only escalate in a world absent trade
Patrick 9 (Protecting Free Trade by Stewart Patrick, 03.13.2009,  Stewart Patrick, senior fellow and director of the Program on International Institutions and Global Governance at the Council on Foreign Relations, is the author of The Best Laid Plans: The Origins of American Multilateralism and the Dawn of the Cold War (Rowan and Littlefield).
President Obama has committed to working with U.S. trade partners to avoid
AND
crisis could precipitate the collapse of the regime and fragmentation of the state. 

Trade solves nuclear war in unstable regions and empirically prevents outbreak of conflict – turns their claims about U.S. imperialism because they know going to war will result in a destruction of their own economic resources and incentives
Weede 10
Erich, Professor of Sociology University of Bonn, The Capitalist Peace and the Rise of China: Establishing Global Harmony by Economic Interdependence International Interactions. Apr-Jun2010, Vol. 36 Issue 2, p206-213

Historically, the rise and fall of great powers has been related to great wars
AND
war. Germany and Japan became prosperous and allies of the United States.
PLAN/SOLVENCY
Thus we offer the following plan;
The United States federal government should support the development of a high-speed rail line between the United States and Mexico.
Plan is feasible and could be completed by 2018
Schoon 14 (Robert Schoon, Latin Post, “First US-Mexico High-Speed Rail Line could be Built by 2018,” January 17, 2014, http://www.latinpost.com/articles/6078/20140117/first-u-s-mexico-high-speed-rail-line-could-be-built-by-2018.htm, TSD)
The plans for a long-sought after high-tech, high-speed
AND
through Laredo would revolutionize trade and travel between the United States and Mexico."

Tournament: Glenbrooks | Round: 7 | Opponent: Katy Taylor | Judge: Quigley, Dylan
Other countries are pressing for international Medicare access – expanding Medicare to Mexico opens the door for other international health agreements (IHAs)
Forbes, ‘9 – Business journal, “Medicare In Mexico,” Sept 4, http://www.forbes.com/2009/09/04/mexico-medicare-retirees-personal-finance-health-care.html. BR
The U.S. government should pick up the cost of health care for
AND
U.S. Congress to get Medicare accepted south of the border.

Demonstrating success is key – the plan is the largest Medicare demo project ever, and spills over to broader international coverage
AARO, ‘9 – Association of American Residents Overseas, Americans for Medicare in Mexico, A.C. (AMMAC) is a legally constituted Mexican non-profit organization dedicated to bringing Medicare coverage to eligible seniors living in Mexico. “Support sought for Demonstration Project for Medicare coverage in Mexico,” http://aaro.org/index.php?option=com_contentandview=articleandid=144:aaro-endorses-proposal-for-medicare-demonstration-project-in-mexicoandcatid=23:medicareandItemid=27. BR
Demonstration Projects are the limited-scale experiments that Medicare undertakes to test innovations in
AND
Mexico, working out any difficulties encountered, and gradually extend benefits ANYWHERE.”

TWO IMPACTS – 

FIRST, LATIN AMERICA – 

New health agreements immediately transform US-Latin America relations – the plan is a low-cost, low-profile down payment
Oppenheimer, ’10 – Andres, syndicated columnist and former Pulitzer prize winner (1987), “Commentary: Can U.S. medical tourists, retirees ease Mexico's woes?” Apr 21, McClatchy DC, http://www.mcclatchydc.com/2010/04/21/92515/commentary-can-us-medical-tourists.html#.UdPjjfk3u8A#storylink=cpy. BR
So what will Calderon specifically propose to Obama? Most likely, the Mexican president
AND
, health care agreements will be the big deal of the coming decade.

The NSA scandal has US-Latin America relations at a critical turning point, but new sources of trade can supersede ideological disputes
Gonzalez et al, 10-7-13 – LUISA PARRAGUEZ/FRANCISCO G. GONZALES/JOSKUA TADEO, “Anti-US in words, not deeds,” Hurriyet Daily News, reprinted from the Khaleej Times. http://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/anti-us-in-words-not-deeds.aspx?pageID=449andnID=55782andNewsCatID=396. BR
The Latin American blogosphere held its breath when Bolivian President Evo Morales’s airplane was forced
AND
trump Latin America’s heavy flows of trade with the world’s most powerful economy.

Latin American relations solve stability
Hakim 6 (Peter Hakim, “Is Washington Losing Latin America?” Foreign Affairs, January/February 2006, http://www.chileconsult.com/Is_Washington_Losing_Latin_America.pdf)
Despite their disagreements and dissatisfaction with U.S. policy in the region,
AND
have demonstrated neither the wil nor the ability to travel that road together. 

Latin American instability causes war and exacerbates the worst effects of offshore balancing
Rochlin 94 James Francis, Professor of Political Science at Okanagan University College, “Discovering the Americas: the evolution of Canadian foreign policy towards Latin America,” p. 130-131.
While there were economic motivations for Canadian policy in Central America, security considerations were
AND
, such as Contadora, as will be discussed in the next chapter.

SECOND, MODELING – 

Specifically, Europe would be next because of rock-bottom health care prices
Hylton, ‘9 – Hilary, “Medicare Savings: Is the Answer in Mexico?,” TIME, Oct 23, http://www.time.com/time/nation/article/0,8599,1931559,00.html.BR
Resistance to the expansion of Medicare to Mexico is coming from some health-care
AND
like China and Eastern Europe where health-care costs are rock bottom.

That boosts growth – U.S. retirees contribute billions to GDP – EU coordination is particularly effective because of their expertise in health care portability
CSIS, No date – Center for Strategic and International Studies, “Medicare in Mexico,” http://csis.org/blog/medicare-mexico. BR
This topic has not gone unnoticed in Mexico or the United States. In Mexico
AND
example when considering how to extend Medicare benefits to retirees living in Mexico.

The Eurozone is headed for an historically unparalleled collapse – it’s try or die – protracted downturn ensures there’s no hope of recovery now
Bishop, 11-5 – Katrina Bishop, Deputy News Editor, CNBC.com “EU Commission cuts euro zone growth forecasts for 2014,” http://www.cnbc.com/id/101159474
Euro zone unemployment will remain near its record high for the next two years amid
AND
Bank (ECB) to cut interest rates when it meets on Thursday.

Eurozone collapse causes World War 3
Gommes, 11 -- former Columbia Law Review senior editor
(Thomas, publisher of Periscope Post, former corporate lawyer, "Eurozone in crisis: The death of the euro could trigger World War III," 12-9-11, www.periscopepost.com/2011/12/eurozone-in-crisis-the-death-of-the-euro-could-trigger-world-war-iii/, accessed 10-23-12, )
Eurozone in crisis: The death of the euro could trigger World War III The
AND
solution to problems, or at minimum an acceptable response to perceived slights.

Tournament: St Marks | Round: 5 | Opponent: Damien LL | Judge: Bricker, Brett
Mexico’s economy is plummeting because it can’t attract new outside investment
Wilkinson, 10-1-13 – Tracy, Columnist with the Los Angeles Times, “Economists dial down projections for Mexico's growth,” LA Times, http://www.latimes.com/world/worldnow/la-fg-wn-mexico-economy-pena-nieto-20131001,0,711698.story. BR
Storms and insecurity are further eroding once-optimistic predictions for Mexico’s economic growth,
AND
insecurity: for investing and for surviving,” columnist Alejandro Paez Varela wrote.

The Aff is vital to growth – 5 reasons –
1 – Demographic window – there’s a limited, once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to promote high rates of economic growth
Wilson, US-Mexico expert at several think tanks, 11 – Christopher E. Wilson, Program Associate with the Woodrow Wilson Center’s Mexico Institute, where he focuses on U.S.-Mexico economic integration and border issues. He previously served as a Mexico Analyst for the U.S. Military and has also worked with the Center for North American Studies at American University and IQOM, Inteligencia Comericial, in Mexico City. Christopher completed his M.A. in International Affairs at American University, Mexico institute, Woodrow Wilson international Center for Scholars, “Mexico Institute Working Together: Economic Ties Between the United States and Mexico,” http://www.wilsoncenter.org/sites/default/files/Working20Together20Full20Document.pdf//BR
As the baby boom generation begins to hit retirement age, the U.S
AND
offer pathways to capitalize on Mexico’s favorable demographics that do not involve migration. 

2 – Health care – Mexican health care is going to collapse now – the plan saves it – it also boosts capital investment and jobs
Haims and Dick, ’12 – RAND Analysts, Marla C. Haims, Andrew W. Dick, “Extending U.S. Medicare to Mexico; Why It's Important to Consider and What Can Be Done,” Fall 2012, article 5, http://www.rand.org/pubs/periodicals/health-quarterly/issues/v2/n3/05.html. BR
Although little is known about the health-care-seeking behaviors of Medicare-
AND
bring an influx of capital, and contribute to job creation.29

3 – Reverse causal evidence that the plan solves the Mexican economy by contributing upwards of $6 billion annually
CSIS, No date – Center for Strategic and International Studies, “Medicare in Mexico,” http://csis.org/blog/medicare-mexico. BR
This topic has not gone unnoticed in Mexico or the United States. In Mexico
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example when considering how to extend Medicare benefits to retirees living in Mexico.

4 – Medical tourism – Mexico is lagging behind in this key sector now – the plan independently boosts jobs
Black, ‘8 – Thomas, “Mexico Builds Hospitals to Lure Medical Tourists From America,” Bloomberg, Mar 27, http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchiveandsid=audTNhIlsFSg.//BR
In the race to attract medical tourists, Mexico has lagged behind other developing countries
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in Mexico,'' Slim said. ``That would be fantastic.''

5 – Real estate – Mexico has the capacity for massive growth, but not the demand – a new influx of U.S. retirees is key
Ibarra, ’11 – Sociology Professor @ University of New Mexico – Roberto, “The Initiative to extend Medicare into Mexico,” Health, Culture and Society: Volume 1, No. 1, http://hcs.pitt.edu/ojs/index.php/hcs/article/view/55/84. BR
According to David Truly, around the end of the last century, local realtors
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are¶ beginning to invest in assisted-living facilities in Mexico.77

Defense doesn’t disprove the utility of the Aff – even modest assessments show that Medicare to Mexico would generate a billion dollars annually in direct revenue to Mexico
Ibarra, ’11 – Sociology Professor @ University of New Mexico – Roberto, “The Initiative to extend Medicare into Mexico,” Health, Culture and Society: Volume 1, No. 1, http://hcs.pitt.edu/ojs/index.php/hcs/article/view/55/84. BR
Mexico has a total of 4,103 hospitals with more private (3,
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S. could be a hindrance for approving a change in Medicare policy.

Mexican collapse saps critical diplomatic operating room
Haddick 8 - University of Illinoi

Tournament: St Marks | Round: 5 | Opponent: Damien LL | Judge: Bricker, Brett
New version of the plan rd 5 vs. Damien LL. We did not read this in any debates at Iowa Caucus. 

The United States federal government should implement a multi-year Medicare pilot program for American citizens in Mexico. 

A pilot program solves and Mexico says yes
Richard Kiy* and Anne McEnany, ’13 – *President and CEO of the ICF, MA @ Harvard, AB @ Stanford, Senior Advisor at the ICF, MS @ Tulane, BA @ UVA, “Health Care and Americans Retiring in Mexico,” May, International Community Foundation, http://www.icfdn.org/publications/healthcare/RRA-2-FINAL.pdf.//BR
Furthermore, if patients are entering Mexico as “medical tourists,” it is possible
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way toward satisfying most U.S. retirees’ medical needs in Mexico.

Successful demo spills over and solves each internal link
AARO, ‘9 – Association of American Residents Overseas, Americans for Medicare in Mexico, A.C. (AMMAC) is a legally constituted Mexican non-profit organization dedicated to bringing Medicare coverage to eligible seniors living in Mexico. “Support sought for Demonstration Project for Medicare coverage in Mexico,” http://aaro.org/index.php?option=com_contentandview=articleandid=144:aaro-endorses-proposal-for-medicare-demonstration-project-in-mexicoandcatid=23:medicareandItemid=27
Demonstration Projects are the limited-scale experiments that Medicare undertakes to test innovations in
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Mexico, working out any difficulties encountered, and gradually extend benefits ANYWHERE.”

Put away your T file – the plan is still a substantial policy layout – defer to specificity
Haims and Dick, ’12 – RAND Analysts, Marla C. Haims, Andrew W. Dick, “Extending U.S. Medicare to Mexico; Why It's Important to Consider and What Can Be Done,” Fall 2012, article 5, http://www.rand.org/pubs/periodicals/health-quarterly/issues/v2/n3/05.html. BR
The model would require detailed data regarding the numbers of individuals, their utilization and
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Medicare demonstration, however, would not able to capture such behavioral effects.

Pilot program solves politics and implementation DAs
Bustamante et al, ’12 – Arturo Vargas Bustamante – School of Public Health @ UCLA; Miriam Laugesen – School of Public Health @ Columbia; Mabel Caban – Southwestern Medical School @ University of Texas and Pauline Rosenau – School of Public Health, University of Texas Health Science Center. “United States-Mexico cross-border health insurance initiatives: Salud Migrante and Medicare in Mexico,” Revista Panamericana de Salud Pública, vol.31 n.1 Washington Jan. 2012, full-text at http://www.scielosp.org/scielo.php?script=sci_arttextandpid=S1020-49892012000100011andlng=enandnrm=isoandtlng=en. BR
As described above, the Mexican government is already testing pilot projects that offer binational
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change in health care coverage and is therefore most likely the best approach.

Even modest success is contagious – the plan builds close government-to-government cooperation, solves the Mexican economy and saves Medicare
Haims* and Dick, ’12 – *Marla C. Haims (Former RAND Global Health Initiative Director, Ph.D. and M.S. in industrial and systems engineering, University of Wisconsin-Madison; B.A. in psychology, Miami University) and Andrew W. Dick (Senior RAND Economic analyst, Ph.D. in economics, Stanford University), “Extending U.S. Medicare to Mexico; Why It's Important to Consider and What Can Be Done,” Fall 2012, article 5, http://www.rand.org/pubs/periodicals/health-quarterly/issues/v2/n3/05.html. BR
Ultimately, extending Medicare to eligible beneficiaries in Mexico could be a mutually beneficial endeavor
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Medicare to Mexico not only feasible but also desirable across all relevant parties.

We control link UQ – economic engagement in tons of other areas is inevitable
Jacobson, Assistant Secretary of State, ’13 – Roberta S., ASSISTANT SECRETARY OF STATE FOR WESTERN HEMISPHERE AFFAIRS AT THE U.S. DEPARTMENT OF STATE, “TESTIMONY OF ROBERTA S. JACOBSON BEFORE FOREIGN RELATIONS COMMITTEE WESTERN HEMISPHERE  SUBCOMMITTEE, UNITED STATES SENATE, JUNE 18, 2013  http://www.foreign.senate.gov/imo/media/doc/Jacobson_Testimony1.pdf
In Mexico, the Peña Nieto administration is pursuing a broad

Tournament: Iowa Caucus | Round: Octas | Opponent: Iowa City West MY | Judge: Baxter-Kauf, Ciborowski, Duff
US diplomacy is maintaining an unsteady peace in the Senkaku Islands now – withdrawal guarantees armed conflict
McCurry, 12 – Justin, “Senkaku Islands dispute calls for delicate diplomacy from the US,” Dec 16, Global Post, http://www.globalpost.com/dispatch/news/regions/asia-pacific/japan/121215/senkaku-islands-dispute-diplomacy-US-japan-china BR
This week’s escalation of a territorial dispute between China and Japan has highlighted the delicate
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provocative act that could lead to an armed conflict between the two countries.”

Goes Nuclear
Emmot 8 (Bill – editor of the Economist, Power rises in the east, The Australian, p. http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/arts/power-rises-in-the-east/story-e6frg8px-1111116460128)
As well as knitting them, however, this drama is also grinding together Asian
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, the East China Sea andthe Senkaku-Diaoyutaiislands, Taiwan and Pakistan.