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2nrsTournament: General | Round: 1 | Opponent: General | Judge: General | 1/8/14 |
china soiTournament: General | Round: 1 | Opponent: General | Judge: General China SOI DA1nc and o/v1nc China DA 1:40Chinese influence is high now – the U.S. is slippingXiaoxia 13 China is busy in America’s backyard. Over the past five years, Chinese businesses Chinese engagement with Latin America is high and stabilizing – increased US engagement will trade-off with Chinese involvementWatson 09 Professor of Strategy at National War College ~Cynthia A. Watson, U.S. Responses to China’s Growing Interests in Latin America: Dawning Recognition of a Changing Hemisphere, "Enter the Dragon? China’s Presence in Latin America", http://www.wilsoncenter.org/sites/default/files/EnterDragonFinal.pdf~~ Chinese influence in the region key to the global economy and regime stability – preventing US influence keyEllis 11 Access to Latin American Markets. Latin American markets are becoming increasingly valuable for Chinese Econ decline causes warROYAL 10 Director of Cooperative Threat Reduction at the U.S. Department of Defense Less intuitive is how periods of economic decline may increase the likelihood of external conflict 2nc- overviewDisad outweighs and turns the case – Chinese econ decline causes global decline and lashout – that’s Royal- prefer our scenario – its grounded in statistical studies and empirical analysisUS-China war causes extinction – existential risk outweighs.Wittner 11 (11/30/11 Dr. Lawrence, Prof of History Emeritus at SUNY Albany, "Is a Nuclear War with China Possible?") Turns caseTurns US econ Chinese economic decline tanks the US economy and roll backManning and Garrett 13. ~Robert A., Senior Fellow in the Brent Scowcroft Center on International Stability, Banning, Strategic Foresight Senior Fellow for Global Trends Strategic Foresight Initiative, "Does Beijing Have a Strategy? China’s Alternative Futures" Atlantic Council — March 19 — http://www.acus.org/publication/does-beijing-have-strategy-chinas-alternative-futures~~ The United States needs to avoid schadenfreude as China faces increasing difficulties in the future our Ellis evidence indicates it would collapse the CCP –Causes bioweapon useRexing 5 (San, Staff – Epoch Times, The CCP’s Last Ditch Gamble: Biological and Nuclear War, 8-5, http://english.epochtimes.com/news/5-8-5/30975.html) Since the Party’s life is "above all else," it would not be surprising UniquenessUniqueness Wall - GenericChinese influence is high now – they are developing trade, military, and private sector ties as a result of diminished U.S. focus – that’s XiaoxiaChinese economic influence is growing in Latin America, but targeted policies can erode dominanceSarmiento-Saher 13 Despite a slowdown in China’s impressive economic growth, the People’s Republic of China ( Popularity - The Latin American public loves ChinaOlson 4/2 Large majorities of people in countries across Latin America and the Caribbean believe China has China controls trade- growth rates proveMarketwatch 6-25-13 "China’s trade value with Latin America rose by 8 percent in 2012 to 24 China winning trade war- flexibilityGoodman 5-29-13 Competing with China’s checkbook isn’t easy for the U.S. Seeking South American Uniqueness CubaChina is working closely with Cuba now- just met with Cuba’s VPXinhuanet 6/18/13 Sponsored by the Xinhua News Agency, Xinhuanet is an important central news service-oriented website, an important information organ of the central government, and an important platform for building up China’s online international communication capacity. "Chinese President meets Cuban VP on stronger ties"http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/china/2013-06/19/c_124874409.htm- SJH BEIJING, June 18 (Xinhua) — Chinese President Xi Jinping on Tuesday met China already acts unilaterally with CubaChina Daily, Chinese Daily Newspaper, 6-18-13 (Zhao Yanrong and Wu Jiao, "Cuban official’s visit expected to bolster links", www.chinadaily.com.cn/cndy/2013-06/18/content_16631891.htm) CTL Cuba and China re committed to increasing political and economic tiesUPI 6/18/13 – ~United Press International (UPI) has been a leading provider of critical information to media outlets, businesses, governments and researchers worldwide ("China and Cuba seek greater cooperation", UPI, June 19 2013, http://www.upi.com/Top_News/World-News/2013/06/19/China-and-Cuba-seek-greater-cooperation/UPI-69371371651113/)//CB~~** BEIJING, June 19 (UPI) — Chinese President Xi Jinping said his country would like to work more closely with Cuba on international and regional issues. Cuba and China deepening trade tiesHavanaTimes 12 ("Cuba and China strengthening trade relations." HavanaTimes.com. 27 September 2012. Web.) China building Cuban merchant fleet in the squo- boosts influenceCAN 7/11/13 ( Cuban News Agency This page offers users news social, economic, political, sports and cultural developments that take place in Cuba and in third world nations) ’Cuba Receives Ninth Chinese Bulk Carrier" http://www.cubanews.ain.cu/2013/0711Ninth20Chinese.htm- SJH Cuba Receives Ninth Chinese Bulk Carrier HAVANA, Cuba, July 11 (acn) Uniqueness VenezuelaChina is increasing their influence and economic control of Venezuela because of US absence.BARRIONUEVO and ROMERO 09 ( Alexei- Reporter from the New York Times, Simon-Simon Romero became the Brazil bureau chief for The New York Times, "Deals Help China Expand Sway in Latin America", http://www.nytimes.com/2009/04/16/world/16chinaloan.html?_r=0, April 15, 2009) China has also pushed into Latin American countries where the United States has negligible influence, like Venezuela. China’s influence on Venezuela is growing and sustainableThe Economist 13 (H.T. Writer for The Economist. "Why has China Snubbed Cuba and Venezuela?" The Economist 6 June 2013. Web.) http://www.economist.com/blogs/economist-explains/2013/06/economist-explains-3 China is expanding influence – foreign investment and manufactured goodsThe Economist 13 (H.T. Writer for The Economist. "Why has China Snubbed Cuba and Venezuela?" The Economist 6 June 2013. Web.) http://www.economist.com/blogs/economist-explains/2013/06/economist-explains-3 China has major influence opportunity – Venezuelan debtMarquez 13 (Humberto Marquez, Journalist at IPS specialising in international news. He worked for 15 years with Agence France-Presse (AFP), 10 as assignment editor in Caracas, covering Venezuela, the Caribbean and the Guyanas. "China Maps out Venezuela’s Valuable Mining Resources." Inter Press Service 28 February 2013. Web.) http://www.ipsnews.net/2013/02/china-maps-out-venezuelas-valuable-mining-resources/ Uniqueness MexicoMexico wants closer trade ties to China in favor of American presenceMallen 6-28 (Patricia Rey, covers Latin America for the Internation Business Times, former employee BBC America in New York, La República in Lima, La2 TV in Madrid and the UN in Brussels, "Latin America Increases Relations With China: What Does That Mean For the U.S.?," 2013, International Business Times, http://www.ibtimes.com/latin-america-increases-relations-china-what-does-mean-us-1317981) Even more significant was Xi’s visit to Mexico. President Enrique Peña Nieto welcomed his China taking over in Mexico- Nieto causes transitionEllis 6-6-13 Ironically, it’s the Latin American country closest to the United States where Xi might AT: U.S. is biggerChinese economic ties are up due to U.S. declinesAquino 12 Not so long ago, Latin America was considered the "backyard" of the Not for long - U.S. is falling and China is gainingCerna 11 By 2007 two-way trade between China and Latin America had already eclipsed 24 AT Europe solvesEurope is pale in comparison to ChinaDe Oliveria 13 China’s growing economic presence in Latin America comes at Europe’s expense. European leaders are LinkLink wall – GenericExtend Wattson from the 1nc. Both are just saying that they would cooperate. We indict that theory of competition. Real politik means that political philosophy always outweighs economic theories. China will act realist.Claims that the relationship is not ZERO-SUM are just lies – china is treating it like a competition.Chang ’11 (Gordon G. Chang, lived and worked in China and Hong Kong for almost two decades as a lawyer. His writings have appeared in the New York Times, Wall Street Journal, International Herald Tribune, Commentary, the Weekly Standard, National Review, and Barron’s. He is a columnist at Forbes.com and the Daily. He has given briefings at the National Intelligence Council, the Central Intelligence Agency, the State Department, and the Pentagon, "China Takes on America in a ’Zero-Sum Game’", http://www.worldaffairsjournal.org/users/gordon-g-chang) (JN) Zero-sum competition? That’s not the way Washington’s foreign policy specialists see the China feels threatened by U.S. foreign policy involvementYing Ma 7 - NRI Fellow at the American Enterprise Institute ("China’s stubborn anti-democracy", Policy Review 141, Feb-March 2007)CB THOUGH THE CHINESE people may be pressing for their rights and better lives in their Perception link - Latin American countries perceieve US involvement, the more it becomes involved the more likely China gets crowded outEllis 2012 (R. Evan ~associate professor with the William J. Perry Center for Hemispheric Defense Studies~; The United States, Latin America and China: A Triangular Relationship; May; www.thedialogue.org/PublicationFiles/IAD8661_China_Triangular0424v2e-may.pdf; kdf) The ability of the United States to serve as a market and¶ a source Link - CubaWe have a specific link – eliminating or lessening the Embargo brings Latin America back to the U.S.’s courtGoodman, 9 (Joshua, Assistant Professor of Public Policy at Harvard, "Latin America to Push Obama on Cuba Embargo at Summit," April 13, 2009 15:07, Online, http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive26sid=a0_zyWMi297I26refer=uk, accessed 7/17/13) PE Engagement with Cuba blocks out ChinaBenjamin-Alvarado ’06 Given that there are no formal diplomatic of economic relations between the governments of the Oil link - Emperics prove that it is a zero sum game- US policy makers would Hardline against drilling with China.GAM 11 ~ The Globe delivers lively and authoritative coverage of national, international, business, technology, arts, entertainment and lifestyle news. "China poised to play major role in Cuban oil development" http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/world/china-poised-to-play-major-role-in-cuban-oil-development/article598579/ (Sachin)~ Chinese involvement in Cuban waters would add a new element to the U.S Link – VenezuelaVenezuela is under China’s Sphere of influence now – plan impedes that.Noriega 2010 (Roger, Former assistant secretary of state for Western Hemisphere affairs and a former U.S ambassador to the Organization of the United States, Chávez and China: Challenging U.S. Interests "America Enterprise Institute", http://www.aei.org/article/foreign-and-defense-policy/regional/asia/chvez-and-china-challenging-us-interests/) Under the cloak of Washington’s indifference, Venezuelan dictator Hugo Chávez is making steady progress Lack of US demand drives Venezuela to ChinaAgence France-Presse ’13 (Largest French newspaper, publishes in English, "Venezuela Looks Beyond US to China As a Customer," Rappler Beta, 3-15, http://www.rappler.com/world/23924-venezuela-united-states-china-oil) CARACAS, Venezuela - Woe is Venezuela, sitting atop the world’s largest oil reserves Now is the tipping point – peaceful rise is only possible if status quo investments are not increasedDT 4/29, "China in Venezuela: loans for oil", 4/29/13, http://dragonstrail.wordpress.com/ Dragon’s Tail, blog about Chinese international affairs, Mollie Beyond these difficulties, prospects are good for China-Venezuela relations, even after Link – MexicoMexico is trying to create distance with the US in favor of China, plan reverses thisEllis 2013 (R. Evan ~associate professor with the William J. Perry Center for Hemispheric Defense Studies~; China’s New Backyard; Jun 6; www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2013/06/06/china_s_new_backyard_latin_america?page=0,1; kdf) Plan reduces the attention deficit – pushes out ChinaMartinez 13 (Guillermo I, writer South Florida Sun-Sentinel, 5-23-13, South Florida Sun-Sentinel, "America losing influence throughout Latin America", web) Mexico counted on American intelligence assistance and money to fight the drug cartels until Obama’s Link UQObama shows no concern for Latin America or China’s presenceCerna 11. ~Michael, staff @ CRC, "China’s growing presence in Latin America: Implications for US and Chinese presence in the region" China Research Center — Vol 10 No 1 — www.chinacenter.net/chinas-growing-presence-in-latin-america-implications-for-u-s-and-chinese-presence-in-the-region/~ In March 2011, U.S. President Barack Obama met with leaders and AT: US Chinese Coop helps Chinese econIt doesn’t matter if it will help China in the real world. 1nc Wattson indicates that China would ignore any rational reason to engage with the US. Instead they will view involvement through a political scope and view any engagement hurting their sphere.China beginning expansion toward foreign countries – not trying to work with, they want to dominate.Steinbock 10 - Dr. Dan Steinbock is research director of international business at India, China and America Institute (USA) and visiting fellow in Shanghai Institutes for International Studies (China). (Dan, "China’s Next Stage of Growth: Reassessing U.S. Policy toward China", NCAFP, 2010)CB A sustained global recovery requires the rejuvenation of international trade, which, in turn Internal LinkAT: LA not key to China’s econLatin America key to China’s economy- trade and resourcesJiang 2007 Chinese achievements in the realm of reform and opening to the outside world have been AT: Cuba not keyCuba is a key point of leverage. Engagements on oil crowd out Chinese discussions on offshore oil.Luko 11 (James – Served in Washington DC with the National Council For Soviet East European Research, the Smithsonian Institute and two years as an analyst with the Canadian Department of National Defence, "China’s Moves on Cuba Need to Be Stopped", 6/29, http://www.nolanchart.com/article8774-chinas-moves-on-cuba-need-to-be-stopped.html) AT: Mexico not keyMexico is the key point of leverage to all of Latin AmericaZeal 5-6 ~a libertarian activist and political researcher from Christchurch New Zealand. "The Encirclement Gathers Pace: China Enters Into a "Strategic Partnership" With Mexico" http://beforeitsnews.com/opinion-conservative/2013/06/the-encirclement-gathers-pace-china-enters-into-a-strategic-partnership-with-mexico-2657822.html~~ Most significant however was his meeting with Mexican President Enrique Pena Nieto. This visit AT: Venezuela not keyVenezuela key to China’s global interests. It’s a key point of leverageEllis 10 ~Assistant Professor of National Security Affairs Center for Hemispheric Defense Studies (CHDS) Washington, D.C. ""Venezuela’s Relationship with China: Implications for the Chávez Regime and the Region" https://umshare.miami.edu/web/wda/hemisphericpolicy/Ellis_Venezuelas_Relationship_w_China.pdf~~ (Sachin) PRC Interests in Venezuela. It is difficult to conclude with confidence the true motivations ImpactAT: China hurts LA environmentNew Chinese guidelines solve Latin American EnvironmentsIIED 5-9 ~IIED is one of the world’s most influential international development and environment policy research organizations. "Report scopes sustainability of China-Latin America relations" http://www.iied.org/report-scopes-sustainability-china-latin-america-relations~~ (Sachin) In addition, there are new national standards being developed and implemented. These include AT: China Kills HegNon UQ china has been gaining influence ever since the cold war, impact should have been triggered.Chinese influence in Latin America doesn’t hurt hegemonyJiang 2007 The news media in the United States have been portraying a wrong perception of the AT: China Kills Local Economies/StabilityChina has been gaining influence in LA ever since the cold war, impact should have been triggered.Chinese influence key to Latin America’s economyO’Neil 12 On the good side, trade with China has helped spur Latin America’s economic growth AT: Red SpreadChina has been gaining influence in LA ever since the cold war, impact should have been triggered.China’s increased engagement doesn’t sway Latin American political preferences – UN votes prove.Dominguez 6. ~Jorge, Professor @ Harvard’s Weatherhead Center for International Affairs, "China’s Relations With Latin America: Shared Gains, Asymmetric Hopes" Inter-American Dialogue Working Paper — June — www.thedialogue.org/PublicationFiles/china.pdf~ Such a marked growth in China’s trade ¶ relations with Latin America might be ¶ 2NC Oil securitySpecifically – key to Chinese oil securityCerna 11 China’s thirst for natural resources has sent the country in search of sustainable supplies of Chinese energy insecurity causes Asia warBrandenburg , 3/24/2011 (Colonel James A. – United States Air Force, China’s Energy Insecurity and the South China Sea Dispute, USAWC Strategy Research Project, p. 6-7) Goes nuclearCirincione 2000 (Joseph, Director of the Non-Proliferation Project – CEIP, Foreign Policy, 3-22, Lexis) 2NC Taiwan IndependenceChinese influence key to prevent Taiwan independenceLi 07 Latin America has been a major battleground of the "foreign policy war" between Causes warYardley 5 (Jim Yardley and Thom Shanker (Staff Writers – Jim reported from Zhanjiang and Thom reported from Washington.) "Chinese Navy Buildup Gives Pentagon New Worries." The New York Times. April 8, 2005) The growing friction between Japan and China, fueled by rising nationalism in both countries | 1/8/14 |
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